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Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's (HKG:8115) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's (HKG:8115) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

上海青浦消防設備(HKG: 8115)的收益可能只是起點
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 20:27

Even though Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:8115) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.

儘管上海青浦消防設備有限公司's (HKG: 8115) 最近公佈的業績表現強勁,市場似乎沒有注意到。我們認爲,投資者錯過了利潤數據背後的一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:8115 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SEHK: 8115 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入記錄

Zooming In On Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's Earnings

放大上海青浦消防設備的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥13m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥8.52m. Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海青浦消防設備的應計率爲-0.17。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲1300萬元人民幣,遠遠超過其852萬元人民幣的法定利潤。毫無疑問,上海青浦消防設備的股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海青浦消防設備的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥2.6m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

儘管應計率可能是個好兆頭,但我們還注意到,在過去的十二個月中,價值260萬元人民幣的不尋常物品提振了上海青浦消防設備的利潤。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。截至2023年12月,上海青浦消防設備從不尋常的項目中獲得了相當大的利潤。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's Profit Performance

我們對上海青浦消防設備盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment you should know about.

總之,上海青浦消防設備的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤是由不尋常的項目提振的。鑑於截然不同的考慮,我們對上海青浦消防設備的利潤是否恰當反映了其潛在的盈利潛力沒有強烈的看法。如果您想進一步了解上海青浦消防設備作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了兩個你應該知道的上海青浦消防設備的警告標誌。

Our examination of Shanghai Qingpu Fire-Fighting Equipment has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對上海青浦消防設備的審查側重於某些可能使其收益好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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