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We Think Guangbo Group Stock's (SZSE:002103) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

We Think Guangbo Group Stock's (SZSE:002103) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

我們認爲廣博集團股票(深圳證券交易所:002103)的強勁收益是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 18:18

Even though Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002103) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. We think that investors have missed some encouraging factors underlying the profit figures.

儘管廣博集團股份有限公司's(SZSE:002103)最近的業績表現強勁,市場似乎沒有注意到。我們認爲,投資者錯過了利潤數據背後的一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002103 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SZSE: 002103 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Guangbo Group Stock's Earnings

仔細觀察廣博集團股票的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Guangbo Group Stock has an accrual ratio of -0.41 for the year to December 2023. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥446m, well over the CN¥169.2m it reported in profit. Guangbo Group Stock shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

截至2023年12月的一年中,廣博集團股票的應計比率爲-0.41。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲4.46億元人民幣,遠遠超過其報告的利潤1.692億元人民幣。毫無疑問,廣博集團的股票股東對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到高興。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangbo Group Stock.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對廣博集團股票的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Guangbo Group Stock's Profit Performance

我們對廣博集團股票盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, Guangbo Group Stock's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Guangbo Group Stock's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. While it's very important to consider the profit and loss statement, you can also learn a lot about a company by looking at its balance sheet. You can see our latest analysis on Guangbo Group Stock's balance sheet health here.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,廣博集團股票的應計比率表明利潤向自由現金流的強勁轉換,這對公司來說是一個積極的利好。基於這一觀察,我們認爲光博集團股票的法定利潤實際上可能低估了其盈利潛力!在去年虧損之後,該公司表現出了足夠的改善,今年實現了盈利,這也是一個積極的因素。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。雖然考慮損益表非常重要,但通過查看公司的資產負債表,你也可以學到很多關於公司的信息。您可以在此處查看我們對廣博集團股票資產負債表狀況的最新分析。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Guangbo Group Stock's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本報告僅研究了揭示廣博集團股票利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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