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There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's (SHSE:601019) Earnings

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's (SHSE:601019) Earnings

山東出版與媒體有限公司(SHSE: 601019)的收益質量可能存在潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 18:42

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:601019) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

儘管公佈了一些強勁的收益,但山東出版傳媒股份有限公司的市場依然存在, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:601019)的股票漲幅不大。我們的分析表明,這可能是因爲股東已經注意到了一些相關的潛在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601019 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SHSE: 601019 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Importantly, our data indicates that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's profit received a boost of CN¥274m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

重要的是,我們的數據表明,與去年相比,山東出版傳媒有限公司的不尋常項目利潤增加了2.74億元人民幣。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。如果山東出版與媒體沒有看到這種貢獻重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在本年度下降。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd received a tax benefit of CN¥274m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

在已經討論了這些不尋常物品的影響之後,我們還應該指出,山東出版傳媒獲得了2.74億元人民幣的稅收優惠。這是有意義的,因爲公司通常納稅而不是獲得稅收優惠。獲得稅收優惠本身顯然是一件好事。但是,細節上的問題在於,此類福利僅在預訂當年有影響,而且本質上通常是一次性的。如果稅收優惠可能不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。

Our Take On Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's Profit Performance

我們對山東出版傳媒有限公司盈利表現的看法

In the last year Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd received a tax benefit, which boosted its profit in a way that might not be much more sustainable than turning prime farmland into gas fields. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

去年,山東出版與媒體有限公司獲得了一項稅收優惠,這增加了其利潤,其可持續性可能不會比將優質農田變成氣田更具可持續性。最重要的是,它還看到一個不尋常的項目提高了利潤,這表明如果這些事件不重演,明年的利潤數字可能會降低。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼山東出版傳媒公司的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。例如,我們發現山東出版傳媒有 2 個警告信號(1 個不容忽視!)在進行進一步分析之前,這值得你注意。

Our examination of Shandong Publishing&MediaLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對山東出版與媒體有限公司的審查側重於某些可能使其收益好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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