Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ximei Resources Holding (HKG:9936)
Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Ximei Resources Holding (HKG:9936)
Ximei Resources Holding Limited's (HKG:9936) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
西美資源控股有限公司(HKG: 9936)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。但是,我們認爲,投資者應注意一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Ximei Resources Holding's Earnings
根據西美資源控股的收益檢查現金流
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。
Over the twelve months to December 2023, Ximei Resources Holding recorded an accrual ratio of 0.29. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥311m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥87.1m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥311m, this year, indicates high risk.
在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,西美資源控股的應計比率爲0.29。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤,這表明在對後者進行大量考慮之前,我們可能需要三思而後行。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲3.11億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲8.71億元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年3.11億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ximei Resources Holding.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對西美資源控股的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Ximei Resources Holding's Profit Performance
我們對西美資源控股盈利表現的看法
Ximei Resources Holding's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Ximei Resources Holding's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Ximei Resources Holding.
Ximei Resources Holding在過去十二個月中的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,就我們對收益的看法而言,這是負數。因此,在我們看來,西美資源控股的真正基礎盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。另一個壞消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。歸根結底,如果你想正確地了解公司,必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。爲了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現了 3 個警告信號(2 個不容忽視!)在購買西美資源控股的任何股票之前,你應該注意這一點。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Ximei Resources Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
今天,我們放大了單一數據點,以更好地了解西美資源控股利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。