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Why Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603192) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Why Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603192) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

爲什麼上海匯德科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603192)的收益比看起來要好
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 19:40

Shareholders appeared to be happy with Shanghai Huide Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603192) solid earnings report last week. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.

股東們似乎對上海匯德科技有限公司感到滿意。,有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603192)上週公佈了穩健的收益報告。根據我們對報告的分析,強勁的總體利潤數字得到了強勁的收益基本面的支持。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603192 Earnings and Revenue History April 26th 2024
SHSE: 603192 2024 年 4 月 26 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings

根據上海匯德科技有限公司的收益研究現金流

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

許多投資者還沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.15 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥193m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥63.9m. Given that Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥193m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, we can see that a recent tax benefit, along with unusual items, have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore its accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海匯德科技有限公司的應計比率爲-0.15。這表明其自由現金流大大超過了其法定利潤。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲1.93億元人民幣,遠遠超過其6,390萬元人民幣的法定利潤。鑑於上海匯德科技有限公司在前一同期的自由現金流爲負,過去十二個月的1.93億元人民幣的業績似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。但是,我們可以看到,最近的稅收優惠以及不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,因此影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海匯德科技有限公司的資產負債表分析

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥11m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

在過去的十二個月中,上海匯德科技有限公司的利潤因價值1100萬元人民幣的不尋常物品而減少,這幫助其產生了較高的現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。這就是你所期望看到的公司的非現金費用會減少紙面利潤的情況。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。假設這些不尋常的支出不會再次出現,因此,我們預計上海匯德科技有限公司在其他條件相同的情況下,明年將實現更高的利潤。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd profited from a tax benefit which contributed CN¥5.8m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

從應計比率來看,我們注意到上海匯德科技有限公司從一項稅收優惠中獲利,該優惠爲利潤貢獻了580萬元人民幣。當公司由納稅人支付工資而不是向納稅人付款時,總是有點值得注意的。獲得稅收優惠本身顯然是一件好事。但是,我們的數據表明,稅收優惠可以暫時增加賬面當年的法定利潤,但隨後利潤可能會回落。如果稅收優惠可能不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。儘管我們認爲公司獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤很有可能遠高於根據一次性因素調整收入時的法定利潤。

Our Take On Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我們對上海匯德科技有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, while its tax benefit is having the opposite effect. Based on these factors, we think Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

總而言之,上海匯德科技有限公司的應計比率及其不尋常的項目表明,其法定收益暫時受到抑制,而其稅收優惠卻產生了相反的效果。基於這些因素,我們認爲上海匯德科技有限公司的盈利潛力至少和看起來一樣好,甚至可能更好!考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。請注意,上海匯德科技有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個有點令人擔憂...

After our examination into the nature of Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在我們研究了上海匯德科技有限公司利潤的性質之後,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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