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China Publishing & Media Holdings (SHSE:601949) Could Easily Take On More Debt

China Publishing & Media Holdings (SHSE:601949) Could Easily Take On More Debt

中國出版傳媒控股公司(SHSE: 601949)很容易承擔更多債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 18:14

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601949) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,中國出版傳媒控股有限公司(SHSE: 601949)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is China Publishing & Media Holdings's Net Debt?

中國出版傳媒控股的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Publishing & Media Holdings had CN¥76.4m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥433.9m, one year before. But it also has CN¥5.28b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.20b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示中國出版傳媒控股在2024年3月有7,640萬元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的4.339億元人民幣。但它也有52.8億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲52.0億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601949 Debt to Equity History April 29th 2024
SHSE: 601949 2024 年 4 月 29 日債務與股本的比率記錄

A Look At China Publishing & Media Holdings' Liabilities

看看中國出版傳媒控股的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Publishing & Media Holdings had liabilities of CN¥4.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.17b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.28b as well as receivables valued at CN¥894.3m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥943.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,中國出版傳媒控股的負債爲40.6億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲11.7億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有52.8億元人民幣的現金以及價值8.943億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出9.439億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that China Publishing & Media Holdings has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, China Publishing & Media Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明中國出版傳媒控股的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,中國出版傳媒控股擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that China Publishing & Media Holdings has boosted its EBIT by 61%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is China Publishing & Media Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

除此之外,我們很高興地報告,中國出版傳媒控股已將其息稅前利潤提高了61%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是中國出版傳媒控股的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While China Publishing & Media Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, China Publishing & Media Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管中國出版傳媒控股的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在最近三年中,中國出版傳媒控股錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的78%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要的時候減少債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China Publishing & Media Holdings has CN¥5.20b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 61% over the last year. So is China Publishing & Media Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with China Publishing & Media Holdings .

儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智之舉,但在這種情況下,中國出版傳媒控股的淨現金爲52.0億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了61%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。那麼中國出版傳媒控股的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在中國出版傳媒控股公司發現的兩個警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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