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We Think Shandong Longhua New Material (SZSE:301149) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shandong Longhua New Material (SZSE:301149) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲山東龍華新材(深圳證券交易所代碼:301149)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 19:26

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shandong Longhua New Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301149) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,山東龍華新材料有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:301149)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東們可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Shandong Longhua New Material Carry?

山東龍華新材揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Shandong Longhua New Material had CN¥707.7m of debt, up from CN¥2.42m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥1.02b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥311.1m net cash.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,山東龍華新材的債務爲7.077億元人民幣,高於去年同期的242萬元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但它也有10.2億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它有3.111億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301149 Debt to Equity History April 29th 2024
SZSE: 301149 2024 年 4 月 29 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Shandong Longhua New Material's Balance Sheet?

山東龍華新材的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shandong Longhua New Material had liabilities of CN¥468.9m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥697.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.02b as well as receivables valued at CN¥268.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥121.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,山東龍華新材的負債爲4.689億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲6.971億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有10.2億元人民幣的現金以及價值2.682億加元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出1.210億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Shandong Longhua New Material has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Shandong Longhua New Material has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明山東龍華新材的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,山東龍華新材的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Even more impressive was the fact that Shandong Longhua New Material grew its EBIT by 105% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shandong Longhua New Material can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更令人印象深刻的是,山東龍華新材在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了105%。這種提振將使未來償還債務變得更加容易。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定山東龍華新材能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Shandong Longhua New Material may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Shandong Longhua New Material burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。山東龍華新材的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,山東龍華新材燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong Longhua New Material has CN¥311.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 105% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Shandong Longhua New Material's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shandong Longhua New Material (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,山東龍華新材擁有3.111億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長105%的樣子。因此,我們對山東龍華新材的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經發現山東龍華新材有兩個警告信號(至少有一個有點不愉快),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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