Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd (SZSE:001896) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd (SZSE:001896) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001896) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,河南宇能控股有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:001896)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's Net Debt?
河南裕能控股有限公司的淨負債是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd had CN¥21.8b of debt, an increase on CN¥18.7b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.29b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥20.5b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年12月,河南宇能控股有限公司在一年內有218億元人民幣的債務,比187億元人民幣的債務有所增加。另一方面,它擁有12.9億元的現金,淨負債約爲205億加元。
How Strong Is Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's Balance Sheet?
河南宇能控股有限公司的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd had liabilities of CN¥12.7b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥15.4b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.95b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥23.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,河南宇能控股有限公司的負債爲127億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲154億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有12.9億元人民幣的現金以及價值29.5億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出238億元人民幣。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥6.62b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了這家66.2億元人民幣的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在裝滿書本、運動裝備和喇叭的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,我們絕對認爲股東需要密切關注這個問題。歸根結底,如果債權人要求還款,河南豫能控股有限公司可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。
As it happens Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 14.7 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We also note that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥16m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
碰巧的是,河南宇能控股有限公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率相當令人擔憂,爲14.7,但利息覆蓋率非常高,爲1k。這意味着,除非公司能夠獲得非常便宜的債務,否則利息支出將來可能會增加。我們還注意到,河南豫能控股有限公司的息稅前利潤從去年的虧損提高至正1600萬元人民幣。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲河南宇能控股有限公司需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,值得檢查一下利息和稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。去年,河南宇能控股有限公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, it seems to us that Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Henan Yuneng HoldingsLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
坦率地說,河南豫能控股有限公司將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其保持總負債水平的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但至少它在用息稅前利潤支付利息支出方面相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。還值得注意的是,河南宇能控股有限公司屬於電力公用事業行業,人們通常認爲該行業具有很強的防禦性。總體而言,在我們看來,河南宇能控股有限公司的資產負債表對業務來說確實是一個相當大的風險。因此,我們對這隻魚的警惕幾乎就像一隻飢餓的小貓要掉進主人的魚池一樣警惕:正如他們所說,一旦被咬傷,兩次害羞。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向河南宇能控股有限公司確定了3個警告信號(至少有1個不太適合我們),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。