Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Moiselle International Holdings Limited (HKG:130) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Moiselle International Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Luxury industry is similar at about 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Moiselle International Holdings Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Moiselle International Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Moiselle International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Moiselle International Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 2.9% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Moiselle International Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Moiselle International Holdings' P/S
Moiselle International Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that Moiselle International Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Moiselle International Holdings, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對一些股東不幸的是,Moiselle International Holdings Limited (HKG:130)股價在過去30天內暴跌了29%,延續了最近的痛苦。過去30天的跌幅已經讓股東們度過了一年的艱難時期,股價在那段時間裏下跌了21%。
即使在股價大幅下跌後,當香港豪華行業的中位數P/S大約爲0.7倍時,仍然沒有多少人認爲Moiselle International Holdings的市銷率(或“P/S”)0.3倍值得一提。儘管沒有明確的解釋,忽視P/S是不明智的,因爲投資者可以忽略明顯的機會或昂貴的錯誤。
Moiselle International Holdings的業績表現
Moiselle International Holdings上一年的營業收入以穩定的速度增長,這通常是一個不錯的結果。其中一個可能性是,投資者認爲這種良好的營收增長在不久的將來可能只與整個行業同步增長。如果不是這樣,那麼至少現有的股東對股價未來的走向可能並不太悲觀。
想獲取公司的收益、營業收入和現金流的全面情況?那麼我們的Moiselle International Holdings免費報告將幫助您詳細了解其歷史業績。
營業收入增長指標告訴我們市銷率的情況如何?
除非公司的增長與行業密切相關,否則您唯一會對Moiselle International Holdings這樣的市銷率感到舒適。
考慮到這一點,我們認爲Moiselle International Holdings的P/S超過了同行業公司。顯然,許多公司的投資者比最近的時期看淡得少,現在不願意放棄股票。只有最勇敢的人才會認爲這些價格是可持續的,因爲最近的營收趨勢很可能最終會對股價產生影響。
Moiselle International Holdings' P/S的底線
Moiselle International Holdings暴跌的股價已經將其P/S帶回了與整個行業相似的區域。雖然市銷率不應成爲您是否購買股票的決定性因素,但它是一個相當能夠衡量收入預期的晴雨表。
Moiselle International Holdings目前的P/S與整個行業一致,這讓我們感到驚訝,因爲它最近的營收已經在中期內處於下降趨勢,而整個行業則有望增長。即使它與行業相匹配,我們對當前的市銷率仍感到不舒服,因爲這種不佳的營收表現不可能長期支持更積極的情緒。除非最近的中期情況得到顯著改善,否則投資者將很難接受股價作爲公允價值。
必須始終考慮到投資風險的隱在威脅。我們已經確定了Moiselle International Holdings的1個警示標誌,理解這一點應該是您投資過程的一部分。