With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.5x CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Company Limited (HKG:3877) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 10x and even P/E's higher than 19x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
SEHK:3877 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 71% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.8% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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