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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For RumereLtd (SZSE:301088)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For RumereLtd (SZSE:301088)

疲軟的法定收益可能無法說明Rumereltd(深圳證券交易所代碼:301088)的全部情況
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 19:15

Despite Rumere Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301088) most recent earnings report having soft headline numbers, its stock has had a positive performance. We did some analysis and found some positive factors that investors might be paying attention to rather than profit.

儘管廣州醞釀文化股份有限公司(SZSE:301088)的最近業績的總收入表現平平,但其股票表現卻很不錯。我們分析了一些正面因素,發現投資者可能更關注這些正面因素而非利潤。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301088 Earnings and Revenue History April 30th 2024
深證301088股票的2024年4月30日財務報表

A Closer Look At RumereLtd's Earnings

深入了解RumereLtd的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是計提比率(從現金流量中)。要獲取計提比率,我們首先需要將一個期間的自由現金流減去利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們公司的利潤超過了其FCF。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司是有益的,而正應計比率則是不利的。這並不是說我們應該擔心正應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是短期利潤的不良跡象。

For the year to March 2024, RumereLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.46. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥74.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥310m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥60m a year ago though, so RumereLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

就2024年3月份爲止的一年中,RumereLtd的應計收入率爲0.46,從統計學上講,這對未來的盈利真的很不利,事實上,在這段期間,公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管它報告了7440萬元的利潤,但自由現金流的情況表明,去年它實際上燒掉了3.1億元人民幣。雖然一年前FCF爲6000萬元,但RumereLtd至少在過去能夠產生正的自由現金流。但是,有更多的因素需要考慮。應計收入率反映了特殊項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上如此。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

RumereLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥69m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. RumereLtd took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

RumereLtd的利潤因不尋常的項目而受到損失,過去12個月淨減收6,900萬元。如果這是一項非現金支出,那麼將更容易實現高的現金轉換率,所以應計收入率告訴我們一個不同的故事是令人驚訝的。雖然因不尋常項扣減而導致收益降低首先是令人失望的,但裏面卻有一線希望。我們研究了成千上萬家上市公司,並發現不尋常的項往往是一次性的。畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。RumereLtd在2024年3月份遭受了不尋常項的相當大的打擊。因此,我們可以推斷不尋常的項目使其法定利潤比本來應該弱得多。

Our Take On RumereLtd's Profit Performance

我們對RumereLtd的盈利表現的看法是

RumereLtd saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if RumereLtd's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for RumereLtd (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

RumereLtd看到了不尋常的項目對其利潤的影響,這應該使其更容易實現高的現金轉換,而它並沒有根據其應計收入率做到這一點。基於這些因素,很難確定RumereLtd的利潤是否合理地反映了其基本盈利能力。鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多的分析,了解風險是非常必要的。我們研究發現,RumereLtd存在3個警示信號(其中2個不太可信),值得您充分關注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們看了一些可以損害利潤數字作爲業務指南的因素,但如果你能把注意力集中到細節上,就能發掘出更多。有些人認爲高淨資產收益率是優質企業的好跡象。雖然您可能需要進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高淨資產收益率公司集合,或者這個股票的內部人士正在購買的公司列表是有用的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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