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Earnings Beat: Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Earnings Beat: Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

收益超預期:上海漢鍾精密機械有限公司剛剛超過了分析師的預期,分析師一直在更新他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 19:40

As you might know, Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002158) recently reported its first-quarter numbers. It looks to have been a decent result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥749m, statutory earnings beat expectations by a notable 12%, coming in at CN¥0.27 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

如你所知,漢鍾精機股份有限公司(SZSE:002158)最近公佈了其第一季度的財務數據。總體來說,營業收入雖略低於分析師預期的CN¥74900萬,但公司實際收益表現不俗,每股收益爲CN¥0.27,超過預期12%。投資者十分重視收益時間,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,了解分析師對明年的預測,看看情緒是否對企業產生了影響。因此,我們彙集了最新的財務後預測,來看看明年的前景如何。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002158 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SZSE:002158 2024年4月30日的盈利和收益增長。

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery from eight analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.40b in 2024. If met, it would imply a solid 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 9.8% to CN¥1.84. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥4.35b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.80 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

綜合考慮最新的結果,八名分析師對漢鍾精機2024年的收入預期爲CN¥44億。如果達成預期,這將意味着在過去12個月內,其營收將實現堅挺的13%增長。每股收益預計將增長9.8%,達到CN¥1.84。在此報告之前,分析師曾預測2024年的收入爲CN¥43.5億,每股盈利(EPS)爲CN¥1.80。共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何會改變其對企業看法的因素,因爲估計沒有發生重大改變。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥29.06, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥36.00 and the most bearish at CN¥21.90 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

在其最近的業績中,公司的營收、收益預期和目標價CN¥29.06沒有發生變化,這表明公司已經達到了預期。另外,看一下分析師評估範圍也有幫助,了解極端意見與平均水平的差異。 對於漢鍾精機,分析師有着不同的看法,最看好的分析師給其估值爲CN¥36.00/股,而最看淡的則只有CN¥21.90/股。這些目標價顯示分析師對企業存在一些不同的看法,但預測的差異不足以讓我們認爲有人在瘋狂地追求成功或徹底的失敗。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery'shistorical trends, as the 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 18% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 18% per year. So although Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

現在從大局上來看,我們可以通過比較過去業績和行業增長預期來確認這些預測是否靠譜。從最新的預測中可以推斷出,預測認爲漢鍾精機將延續其歷史趨勢,因爲截至2024年底的年化營收增長率約爲18%,與過去5年的18%年度增長率基本一致。將此與我們的數據進行對比,我們發現,該行業內的其他(經有分析師覆蓋的)公司預計其收入年增長率爲18%。因此,雖然漢鍾精機預計將保持其營收增長率,但其增長速度僅與整個行業保持一致。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,分析師再次確認業務績效符合他們之前的每股收益估計值。他們還確認了營收預測,預計該公司將以與整個行業大致相同的速度增長。共識價格目標沒有實質性變化,這表明業務內在價值沒有隨着最新估算髮生任何重大變化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

儘管如此,在今後更長時間內,公司的收益長期趨勢比明年更爲重要。我們對漢鍾精機到2026年的預測可以免費在我們的平台上查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery that you need to take into consideration.

值得注意的是,我們已經發現了一項漢鍾精機的1個警告標誌,您需要考慮到這一點。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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