share_log

We Think That There Are More Issues For Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling (SZSE:301500) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling (SZSE:301500) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我們認爲,廣東肥南資源回收公司(深交所股票代碼:301500)面臨的問題不僅僅是收益疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 20:18

Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling Co., Ltd's (SZSE:301500) lackluster earnings announcement last week disappointed investors. We think that they may have more to worry about than just soft profit numbers.

廣東飛南資源回收股份有限公司(深交所股票代碼:301500)上週公佈的業績乏善可陳,令投資者失望。我們認爲,他們可能需要擔心的不僅僅是疲軟的利潤數字。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301500 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SZSE: 301500 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 1 日

A Closer Look At Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's Earnings

仔細看看廣東飛南資源回收的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正的應計比率是負數。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往會降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling recorded an accrual ratio of 0.35. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥180.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥2.2b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥2.2b, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,廣東肥南資源回收的應計比率爲0.35。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對該利潤數字到底有多有用的質疑。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲1.801億元人民幣,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了22億元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年22億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對廣東飛南資源回收的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥56m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

該公司去年有不尋常的項目將利潤提高了5600萬元人民幣,這一事實可能在某種程度上可以解釋其應計比率爲何如此疲軟。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。如果廣東肥南資源回收沒有看到這種捐款重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其本年度的利潤將下降。

Our Take On Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's Profit Performance

我們對廣東飛南資源回收利潤表現的看法

Summing up, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling has 4 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

總而言之,廣東飛南資源回收利用不尋常的物品獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其紙面利潤無法與自由現金流相提並論。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲廣東肥南資源回收的利潤可能給人一種對其可持續盈利水平的過於寬鬆的印象。如果您想進一步了解廣東肥南資源回收作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。在進行分析時,我們發現廣東肥南資源回收有4個警告標誌,忽視它們是不明智的。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,我們採取了謹慎的態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論