share_log

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd. Recorded A 6.9% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd. Recorded A 6.9% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

鄭州千味陽初食品有限公司收入下降6.9%:分析師正在重新審視他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 20:16

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001215) came out with its first-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥463m, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at CN¥1.56 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

鄭州千味陽初食品有限公司(SZSE:001215)上週公佈了第一季度業績,我們想看看該業務的表現如何,以及行業預測員對該公司的看法。業績好壞參半——雖然收入略低於分析師預期的4.63億元人民幣,但法定收益符合預期,爲每股1.56元人民幣。對於投資者來說,盈利是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看對公司的情緒是否發生了變化。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,以了解估計對明年的預測。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:001215 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 1st 2024
SZSE: 001215 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 1 日

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food from 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥2.18b in 2024. If met, it would imply a solid 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 57% to CN¥2.19. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.36b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.25 in 2024. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a minor downgrade to earnings per share estimates.

考慮到最新業績,13位分析師對鄭州千味陽初食品的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲21.8億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這意味着其收入在過去12個月中穩步增長了13%。每股收益預計將反彈57%,至2.19元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲23.6億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲2.25元人民幣。很明顯,在最新業績公佈後,悲觀情緒已經抬頭,導致收入前景疲軟,每股收益預期略有下調。

The consensus price target fell 10% to CN¥61.07, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥81.05 and the most bearish at CN¥42.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

共識目標股價下跌10%,至61.07元人民幣,疲軟的盈利前景顯然領先於估值預期。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。對鄭州千味陽初食品的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲81.05元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股42.00元人民幣。這是相當廣泛的估計,這表明分析師正在預測該業務的各種可能結果。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food'shistorical trends, as the 18% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 20% annual growth over the past three years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 12% annually. So it's pretty clear that Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

現在從大局來看,我們理解這些預測的方法之一是了解它們與過去的業績和行業增長估計相比如何。我們可以從最新估計中推斷,預測預計鄭州千味陽初食品的歷史趨勢將延續,因爲到2024年底的18%的年化收入增長與過去三年20%的年增長大致一致。相比之下,分析師估計(總計),整個行業的收入將每年增長12%。因此,很明顯,鄭州千味陽初食品的增長速度預計將大大快於其行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

最大的擔憂是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,這表明鄭州千味陽初食品可能會面臨業務不利因素。遺憾的是,他們還下調了收入預期,但最新的預測仍然表明該業務的增長速度將超過整個行業。此外,分析師還下調了目標股價,這表明最新消息加劇了人們對業務內在價值的悲觀情緒。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我們有分析師對鄭州千味陽初食品到2026年的全方位估計,你可以在我們的平台上免費看到這些估計。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food that we have uncovered.

在你採取下一步行動之前,你應該了解一下我們發現的鄭州千味陽初食品的1個警告標誌。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論