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Is Shanghai Shenda (SHSE:600626) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Shanghai Shenda (SHSE:600626) Using Too Much Debt?

上海申達(SHSE: 600626)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 23:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shanghai Shenda Co., Ltd (SHSE:600626) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,上海申達股份有限公司(SHSE: 600626)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Shanghai Shenda's Net Debt?

上海申達的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Shenda had debt of CN¥2.90b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥3.31b over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.37b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.53b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月底,上海申達的債務爲29.0億元人民幣,較一年內的33.1億元人民幣有所減少。但是,它確實有13.7億加元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲15.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600626 Debt to Equity History May 1st 2024
SHSE: 600626 2024 年 5 月 1 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Shanghai Shenda's Liabilities

看看上海申達的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Shenda had liabilities of CN¥4.76b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.87b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.37b and CN¥2.16b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.10b.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,上海申達在12個月內到期的負債爲47.6億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲18.7億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲13.7億元人民幣,還有價值21.6億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額31.0億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.76b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shanghai Shenda's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Shenda will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相對於其37.6億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注上海申達的債務使用情況。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲上海申達需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Shanghai Shenda wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 4.3%, to CN¥12b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,上海申達的息稅前利潤水平沒有盈利,但其收入增長了4.3%,達到120億元人民幣。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Shanghai Shenda had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥53m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥125m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Shenda you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

重要的是,上海申達去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了5300萬元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負1.25億元人民幣。因此,只要說我們確實認爲這隻股票有風險就足夠了。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了兩個你應該注意的上海申達警告標誌,其中一個讓我們有點不舒服。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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