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The Stock Market Slips Ahead Of Fed's Policy Meeting As Investors Brace For Persistently High Rates

The Stock Market Slips Ahead Of Fed's Policy Meeting As Investors Brace For Persistently High Rates

由於投資者爲持續的高利率做準備,股市在聯儲局政策會議前下滑
Benzinga ·  05/01 11:24

The SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) was falling about 0.25% lower Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.

在聯儲局做出利率決定之前,SPDR標準普爾500指數(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPY)週三下跌約0.25%。

The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady but investors will be focusing on Fed chair Jerome Powell's comments at the press conference following the decision for clues as to when the Fed may begin easing.

人們普遍預計央行將保持利率穩定,但投資者將關注聯儲局主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾在決定後在新聞發佈會上發表的言論,以尋找有關聯儲局何時可能開始寬鬆政策的線索。

After the SPY ran about 27% higher between Oct. 27 and March 28, the ETF entered into a downtrend, retracing about 4.6% from the all-time high of $524.61. Whether or not downward pressure across major equities will continue through to the end of the second quarter remains to be seen but for at least the short term, from a technical analysis perspective, the market ETF is showing weakness, trading mostly sideways on lower-than-average volume.

在10月27日至3月28日期間,SPY指數上漲了約27%,此後,該ETF進入下跌趨勢,從歷史高點524.61美元回落了約4.6%。主要股市的下行壓力是否會持續到第二季度末還有待觀察,但至少在短期內,從技術分析的角度來看,市場ETF表現疲軟,主要是橫盤整理,交易量低於平均水平。

Trending: Cannabis Advocates Say DEA's Move Represents 'Progress But Not Justice,' Ends War On Medical Marijuana Patients, But Not War On Drugs

趨勢:大麻倡導者說,緝毒局的舉動代表着 “進步但不是正義”,結束了對醫用大麻患者的戰爭,但沒有結束毒品戰爭

More experienced traders who wish to play the SPY either bullishly or bearishly may choose to do so through one of two Direxion ETFs. Bullish traders can enter a short-term position in Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXL) and bearish traders can trade the inverse ETF, Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXS).

希望以看漲或看跌的方式玩SPY的經驗更豐富的交易者可以選擇通過兩種Direxion ETF中的一種來玩SPY。看漲的交易者可以在Direxion Daily標準普爾500指數牛市3X股(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXL)中進入短期頭寸,看跌的交易者可以交易反向ETF,即Direxion Daily標準普爾500熊3X股(紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXS)。

The ETFs: SPXL and SPXS are triple leveraged funds that track the movement of the SPY, seeking a return of 300% or –300% on the return of the benchmark index over a single day.

ETF:SPXL和SPXS是追蹤SPY走勢的三倍槓桿基金,尋求基準指數在一天內獲得300%或-300%的回報。

It should be noted that leveraged ETFs are meant to be used as a trading vehicle as opposed to long-term investments

應該注意的是,槓桿ETF旨在用作交易工具,而不是長期投資

Want direct analysis? Find me in the BZ Pro lounge! Click here for a free trial.

想要直接分析?在 BZ Pro 休息室找我!點擊此處免費試用。

The SPY Chart: After closing at the $495.16 level on April 19, the SPY has been trading mostly sideways near the $500 mark, within a slight uptrend pattern. The most recent higher high within the pattern was formed on Monday at $510.75 and the most recent confirmed lower low was printed at $497.49 on April 25.

間諜走勢圖:在4月19日收於495.16美元之後,SPY指數主要在500美元大關附近橫盤整理,處於小幅上升的趨勢中。該模式中最近的較高高點是在週一形成的,爲510.75美元,最近確認的較低點是4月25日創下的497.49美元。

  • On Tuesday, the SPY dropped 1.29% from its opening price and on Wednesday, the ETF was trading slightly lower on very low volume and working to print a small doji candlestick, which could indicate the next local low has occurred and a bounce will take place on Thursday.
  • For the uptrend to continue on the daily chart, the SPY will eventually need to close above the most recent higher high. If that fails to happen, the uptrend will be negated and another downtrend could be on the horizon.
  • If the SPY forms another higher high, the ETF will regain the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) as support, which would give bullish traders more confidence. If the SPY retraces significantly, it's likely to find support, at least temporarily, at the 200-day SMA.
  • The SPY has resistance above at $502.87 and at $510.13 and support below at $496.05 and at $491.42.screenshot_592.png
  • 週二,SPY指數較開盤價下跌了1.29%。週三,該ETF交易量非常低,交易量小幅下跌,並正在努力打印一個小十字星燭臺,這可能表明下一個局部低點已經出現,反彈將在週四發生。
  • 爲了使日線圖上的上升趨勢繼續下去,SPY最終需要收於最近的更高高點上方。如果這不發生,上升趨勢將被抵消,另一個下跌趨勢可能會出現。
  • 如果SPY再創高點,ETF將重新獲得50天簡單移動平均線(SMA)作爲支撐,這將使看漲的交易者更有信心。如果SPY大幅回調,它可能會在200日均線上獲得支撐,至少是暫時性的。
  • SPY的阻力位高於502.87美元和510.13美元,支撐位低於496.05美元和491.42美元。

Image sourced from Shutterstock

圖片來自 Shutterstock

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