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Is Sino-Ocean Group Holding (HKG:3377) A Risky Investment?

Is Sino-Ocean Group Holding (HKG:3377) A Risky Investment?

遠洋集團控股(HKG: 3377)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 19:49

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited (HKG:3377) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,遠洋集團控股有限公司(HKG: 3377)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Sino-Ocean Group Holding Carry?

遠洋集團控股持有多少債務?

As you can see below, Sino-Ocean Group Holding had CN¥96.1b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥2.64b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥93.5b.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,遠洋集團控股的債務爲961億元人民幣,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,它確實有26.4億加元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲935億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:3377 Debt to Equity History May 1st 2024
SEHK: 3377 2024 年 5 月 1 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Sino-Ocean Group Holding's Balance Sheet?

遠洋集團控股的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sino-Ocean Group Holding had liabilities of CN¥154.5b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥30.9b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.64b and CN¥50.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥132.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,遠洋集團控股的負債爲1545億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲309億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲26.4億元人民幣,還有價值50億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出1328億元人民幣。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥2.54b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Sino-Ocean Group Holding would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sino-Ocean Group Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

這一赤字給這家25.4億元人民幣的公司蒙上了陰影,就像一個聳立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果債權人要求還款,遠洋集團控股可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定遠洋集團控股能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year Sino-Ocean Group Holding's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that hardly impresses, its not too bad either.

去年,遠洋集團控股的收入相當平緩,息稅前利潤爲負。雖然這幾乎沒有給人留下深刻的印象,但也不算太糟糕。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Sino-Ocean Group Holding produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥14b. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥21b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Sino-Ocean Group Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

在過去的十二個月中,遠洋集團控股出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。其息稅前利潤虧損高達140億元人民幣。當你將其與上面提到的非常重要的資產負債表負債相結合時,我們對此非常警惕,以至於我們對正確的詞彙基本上不知所措。像每張長鏡頭一樣,我們確信它有一個精美的演示文稿,概述了它的超現實潛力。但現實是,與負債相比,它的流動資產不足,去年損失了210億元人民幣。因此,我們認爲購買這隻股票是有風險的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,遠洋集團控股在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,您應該知道...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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