ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's (SZSE:000628) 75% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period
ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's (SZSE:000628) 75% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Three-year Period
The ChengDu Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000628) share price is down a rather concerning 39% in the last month. But that doesn't displace its brilliant performance over three years. Over that time, we've been excited to watch the share price climb an impressive 430%. So the recent fall doesn't do much to dampen our respect for the business. The only way to form a view of whether the current price is justified is to consider the merits of the business itself.
成都高新發展股份有限公司(SZSE: 000628)的股價在上個月下跌了相當令人擔憂的39%。但這並不能取代其三年來的出色表現。在那段時間裏,我們很高興看到股價上漲了令人印象深刻的430%。因此,最近的下跌並沒有多大削弱我們對業務的尊重。對當前價格是否合理形成看法的唯一方法是考慮企業本身的優點。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.
事實證明,過去一週對成都高新開發的投資者來說是有利可圖的,所以讓我們看看基本面是否推動了該公司的三年業績。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
ChengDu Hi-Tech Development was able to grow its EPS at 11% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 74% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.
成都高新發展得以在三年內以每年11%的速度增長每股收益,這推動了股價的上漲。相比之下,股價每年74%的漲幅超過了每股收益的增長。這表明,隨着業務在過去幾年中的發展,它贏得了市場參與者的信心。在經歷了幾年的增長之後,市場對股票進行 “重新評級” 的情況並不少見。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。查看這張成都高新開發收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's TSR for the last 3 years was 440%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,成都高新發展過去三年的股東總回報率爲440%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 214% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 37%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development you should be aware of.
很高興看到成都高新開發的股東去年獲得了 214% 的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即37%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。一個很好的例子:我們發現了成都高新技術開發區的3個警告標誌,你應該注意了。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。