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Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology (SHSE:603466) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology (SHSE:603466) A Risky Investment?

上海風語築文化科技(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603466)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 00:50

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603466) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,上海風語築文化科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603466)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Carry?

上海風語築文化科技揹負了多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology had CN¥503.0m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥1.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.31b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,上海風語築文化科技在2024年3月有5.030億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同。但是,它確實有18.2億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲13.1億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603466 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 603466 2024 年 5 月 2 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology's Balance Sheet?

上海風語築文化科技的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥551.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.71b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.26b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,上海風語築文化科技在12個月內到期的負債爲17.1億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲5.515億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有18.2億元人民幣的現金以及價值17.1億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出12.6億元人民幣 負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種過剩的流動性表明上海風語築文化科技正在對債務採取謹慎的態度。鑑於它很容易獲得足夠的短期流動性,我們認爲其貸款機構不會有任何問題。簡而言之,上海風語築文化科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Even more impressive was the fact that Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology grew its EBIT by 212% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更令人印象深刻的是,上海風語築文化科技的息稅前利潤在十二個月內增長了212%。如果這種增長得以維持,將使未來幾年的債務更加易於管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都更能決定上海風語築文化科技未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管上海風語築文化科技的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,上海風語築文化科技錄得的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的86%,比我們通常預期的要強。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology has CN¥1.31b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 86% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥17m. When it comes to Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology's debt, we sufficiently relaxed that our mind turns to the jacuzzi. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,上海風語築文化科技擁有13.1億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的86%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了-1700萬元人民幣的收入。說到上海風語築文化科技的債務,我們已經足夠放鬆,以至於我們的注意力轉向了按摩浴缸。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,上海風語築文化科技有 1 個警示標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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