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We Think Qingdao Sentury Tire (SZSE:002984) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Qingdao Sentury Tire (SZSE:002984) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲青島森特瑞輪胎(深圳證券交易所:002984)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:29

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Qingdao Sentury Tire Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002984) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,青島森特瑞輪胎有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002984)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Qingdao Sentury Tire's Debt?

青島森特瑞輪胎的債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Qingdao Sentury Tire had CN¥1.98b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.66b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.69b net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖表顯示,青島森特瑞輪胎在2024年3月有19.8億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同。但另一方面,它也有36.6億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲16.9億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002984 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024
SZSE: 002984 2024 年 5 月 2 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Qingdao Sentury Tire's Balance Sheet?

青島聖騰瑞輪胎的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Qingdao Sentury Tire had liabilities of CN¥1.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.66b and CN¥1.26b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.10b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,青島森特瑞輪胎在12個月內到期的負債爲17.1億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲21.2億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲36.6億元人民幣,還有價值12.6億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出11億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Qingdao Sentury Tire has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Qingdao Sentury Tire has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明青島森特瑞輪胎的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,青島森特瑞輪胎的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Better yet, Qingdao Sentury Tire grew its EBIT by 102% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Qingdao Sentury Tire can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

更好的是,青島森特瑞輪胎去年的息稅前利潤增長了102%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改善。如果這種增長得以維持,將使未來幾年的債務更加易於管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定青島森特瑞輪胎能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Qingdao Sentury Tire has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Qingdao Sentury Tire reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。儘管青島森特瑞輪胎的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,青島森特瑞輪胎公佈的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的18%,確實很低。這種低迷的現金轉換水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Qingdao Sentury Tire has CN¥1.69b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 102% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Qingdao Sentury Tire's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Qingdao Sentury Tire that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,青島森特瑞輪胎擁有16.9億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長102%的樣子。那麼青島森卓瑞輪胎的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了青島森特瑞輪胎的兩個警告信號,在這裏投資之前你應該注意這兩個警示信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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