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Here's Why CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (HKG:775) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (HKG:775) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

這就是CK生命科學國際的原因。(控股)(HKG: 775)的債務負擔沉重
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:53

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CK Life Sciences Int'l., (Holdings) Inc. (HKG:775) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,長江生命科學國際(控股)有限公司(HKG: 775)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) Carry?

CK Life Sciences Internat'l 有多少債務。(持股)持有?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) had HK$5.42b in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had HK$676.2m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$4.75b.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示了CK生命科學國際公司。(控股)在2023年12月有54.2億港元的債務;與前一年大致相同。但是,它也有6.762億港元的現金,因此其淨負債爲47.5億港元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:775 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024
SEHK: 775 2024 年 5 月 2 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?

CK Life Sciences Internat'l 有多健康(控股)的資產負債表?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) had liabilities of HK$2.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$4.96b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$676.2m and HK$967.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$5.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到CK Life Sciences Int'l。(Holdings)的負債爲21.0億港元,12個月後到期的負債爲49.6億港元。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲6.762億港元,還有價值9.67億港元的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出54.2億港元。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's HK$3.80b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

當你考慮到這一缺口超過了公司380億港元的市值時,你很可能會傾向於仔細審查資產負債表。假設,如果公司被迫通過按當前股價籌集資金來償還負債,則需要進行極其嚴重的稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Weak interest cover of 0.72 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.5 hit our confidence in CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) saw its EBIT drop by 6.7% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

0.72倍的薄弱利息覆蓋率和令人不安的高淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率12.5打擊了我們對CK Life Sciences Int'l的信心。(持股)就像是一記二拳。這意味着我們會認爲它有沉重的債務負擔。更多相關信息,CK Life Sciences Internat'l。(Holdings)在過去十二個月中其息稅前利潤下降了6.7%。如果它繼續這樣下去,還清債務就像在跑步機上跑步一樣,付出很大的努力,但進展不大。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲CK Life Sciences Internat'l。(控股)將需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,值得檢查一下息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的三年中,CK生命科學國際。(控股)產生的自由現金流實際上比息稅前利潤還多。在保持貸款人的支持方面,沒有什麼比流入的現金更好的了。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings)'s net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with CK Life Sciences Int'l. (Holdings) (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

從表面上看,CK Life Sciences Internat'l.(Holdings)與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的淨負債使我們對該股持初步看法,其利息保障並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。但好的一面是,它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。我們很清楚我們考慮的是CK生命科學國際。(持股)由於其資產負債表狀況良好,風險確實相當大。因此,我們對這隻魚的警惕幾乎就像一隻飢餓的小貓要掉進主人的魚池一樣警惕:正如他們所說,一旦被咬傷,兩次害羞。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向CK Life Sciences Internat'l確定了4個警告信號。(持股)(至少2個,不容忽視),了解它們應該是投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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