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Implied Volatility(IV) for trading options

Implied Volatility(IV) for trading options

交易期權的隱含波動率(IV)
Moomoo News ·  2021/02/17 10:18  · 獨家

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Volatility is one of the six inputs of an option-pricing model. Some of the other inputs - strike price, stock price, the number of days until expiration, and the current interest rate - are easily observable. 

波動率是期權定價模型的六個輸入之一。其他一些輸入--執行價格、股票價格、到期前的天數和當前利率--很容易觀察到。

Some traders mistakenly believe that volatility is based on a directional trend in the stock price. Not so, by definition, volatility is simply the amount the stock price fluctuates, without regard for direction. 

一些交易員錯誤地認為,波動性是基於股價的方向性趨勢。不是這樣的,從定義上講,波動率僅僅是股票價格的波動量,而不考慮方向。

As an individual trader, you really only need to concern yourself with two forms of volatility: historical volatility and implied volatility. Historical volatility is defined in textbooks as "the annualized standard deviation of past stock price movements." But here, let's just say it's how much the stock price fluctuated on a day-to-day basis over a one-year period. 

作為個人交易者,你真的只需要關注兩種形式的波動率:歷史波動率和隱含波動率。歷史波動率在教科書中被定義為“過去股票價格變動的年化標準差”。但在這裏,這麼説吧,它是指股票價格在一年的時間裏每天的波動幅度。

Implied volatility isn't based on historical pricing data on the stock. Instead, it's what the marketplace is "implying" the volatility of the stock will be in the future, based on the price changes in an option. Like historical volatility, this figure is expressed on an annualized basis. But implied volatility is typical of more interest to retail options traders than historical volatility because it's forward-looking

隱含波動率不是基於股票的歷史定價數據。相反,這是市場根據期權價格的變化來“暗示”股票未來的波動性。。與歷史波動性一樣,這一數字是按年率表示的。但隱含波動率通常比歷史波動率更令散户期權交易者感興趣,因為它前瞻性.

For a specific stock price

對於特定的股票價格

Implied volatility is a dynamic figure that changes based on activity in the options marketplace. Usually, when implied volatility increases, the price of options will increase as well, assuming all other things remain constant. So when implied volatility increases after a trade has been placed, it's good for the option owner and bad for the option seller.

隱含波動率是一個動態數字,根據期權市場的活動而變化。通常,假設所有其他因素保持不變,當隱含波動率上升時,期權價格也會上升。因此,當交易完成後隱含波動率增加時,對期權所有者有利,對期權賣方不利。

Conversely, if implied volatility decreases after your trade is placed, the price of options usually decreases. That's good if you're an option seller and bad if you're an option owner.

相反,如果交易後隱含波動率下降,期權價格通常也會下降。如果你是期權賣家,這是好事,但如果你是期權所有者,這就不好了。

Given implied volatility will yield a unique option value. Take a stock trading at $44.22 that has the 60-day $45-strike call at a theoretical value of $1.10 with an 18% implied volatility level. If the stock price remains constant, but IV raises to 19%, the value of the call will rise by its vega (in this case let's say about 0.07). The new value of the call will be $1.17 ($1.10+0.07). Rising IV another point to 20%, raises the theoretical value by another 0.07, to $1.24. 

鑑於隱含波動率將產生唯一的期權價值。以一隻44.22美元的股票為例,它的60天45美元買入權理論價值為1.10美元,隱含波動率水平為18%。如果股價保持不變,但IV提高到19%,看漲期權的價值將上升它的織女星(在這種情況下,假設大約0.07)。認購的新價值將為1.17美元(1.10美元+0.07美元)。上漲IV個百分點至20%,將理論價值再提高0.07美元,至1.24美元。

The question is: Where does implied volatility come from? 

問題是:隱含波動率從何而來?

Based on truth and rumors in the marketplace, option prices will begin to change. If there's an earnings announcement or a major court decision coming up, traders will alter trading patterns on certain options. That drives the price of those options up or down, independent of stock price movement. Keep in mind, it's not the options' intrinsic value(if any) that is changing. Only the options' time value is affected. 

根據市場上的事實和傳言,期權價格將開始變化。如果即將公佈業績或法院做出重大裁決,交易員將改變某些期權的交易模式。這推動了這些期權的價格上漲或下跌,與股價走勢無關。請記住,改變的並不是期權的內在價值(如果有的話)。只有選項的時間值受影響。

The reason the option' time value will change is because of changes in the perceived potential range of future price movement on the stock. Implied volatility can then be derived from the cost of the option. In fact, if there were no options traded on a given stock, there would be no way to calculate implied volatility. 

期權的時間價值將發生變化的原因是股票未來價格波動的感知潛在範圍的變化。然後,隱含波動率可以從期權的成本中推導出來。事實上,如果一隻給定的股票沒有期權交易,就無法計算隱含波動率。

Editor:Eli

編輯:Eli

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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