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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688398) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688398) Earnings

投資者不應該對福建超天新材料有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688398)的收益過於滿意
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 19:18

Fujian Supertch Advanced Material CO.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688398) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

福建賽普泰新材料有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海證券交易所代碼:688398)強勁的收益報告未能推動其股票的市場走勢。我們的分析表明,這可能是因爲股東已經注意到了一些相關的潛在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688398 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 688398 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Zooming In On Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's Earnings

放大福建Supertech AdvanceLtd的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

許多投資者尚未聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司在給定時期內自由現金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利潤的有用指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to December 2023, Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.33. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥189m despite its profit of CN¥106.1m, mentioned above. We also note that Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥189m.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,福建賽普泰新材料有限公司的應計比率爲0.33。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠少於其法定利潤,這使我們懷疑利潤作爲指導的效用。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲1.061億元人民幣,但流出量仍爲1.89億元人民幣,如上所述。我們還注意到,福建Supertch AdvancealLTD去年的自由現金流實際上也是負數,因此我們可以理解股東是否因其1.89億元人民幣的流出而感到困擾。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's Profit Performance

我們對福建超天新材料有限公司盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 8.2% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲福建Supertch AdvancealLTD的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。出於這個原因,我們認爲福建Supertch Advanced MaterialLTD的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能使投資者對該公司產生過於積極的印象。但是,至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長8.2%中得到一些安慰。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,福建 Supertch Advanced MaterialLTD 有 1 個我們認爲你應該注意的警告標誌。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只考慮了揭示福建Supertch AdvanceallLTD利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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