share_log

Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's (SHSE:603777) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's (SHSE:603777) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

上海來易芬有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603777)的股東需要擔心的不僅僅是軟收益
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 19:14

Despite Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603777) most recent earnings report having soft headline numbers, its stock has had a positive performance. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

儘管上海來伊芬有限公司,Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:603777)的最新收益報告顯示了疲軟的標題數據,其股票表現良好。我們研究了細節,我們認爲投資者可能正在對一些令人鼓舞的因素做出回應。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603777 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 603777 2024 年 5 月 3 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Zooming In On Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's Earnings

放大上海來易芬有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以公司在該時期內的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.28. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥260m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥47.1m. Shanghai LaiyifenLtd did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, we can see that a recent tax benefit, along with unusual items, have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore its accrual ratio.

在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,上海萊易芬有限公司的應計比率爲-0.28。這意味着它的現金轉化率非常好,而且其去年的收益實際上大大低估了其自由現金流。換句話說,它在此期間產生了2.6億元人民幣的自由現金流,使其報告的4710萬元利潤相形見絀。上海LaiyifenLtd的自由現金流確實同比下降,這並不理想,就像辛普森沒有場地管理員威利的劇集一樣。但是,我們可以看到,最近的稅收優惠以及不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,進而影響了應計比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai LaiyifenLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對上海來易芬有限公司的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥23m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

儘管應計比率可能是個好兆頭,但我們還注意到,在過去的十二個月中,價值2300萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提振了上海LaiyifenLtd的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。我們統計了全球大多數上市公司的數字,不尋常的物品在自然界中很常見。這正如你所預料的那樣,因爲這些增強被描述爲 “不尋常”。我們可以看到,截至2024年3月的一年中,上海萊易芬有限公司的正面不尋常項目與其利潤相比相當可觀。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd received a tax benefit of CN¥4.8m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

除了顯著的應計比率外,我們可以看到上海來易芬有限公司獲得了480萬元人民幣的稅收優惠。這當然有點不尋常,因爲公司納稅比獲得稅收優惠更爲普遍!當然, 初步證實 能獲得稅收優惠真是太好了。但是,細節上的問題在於,此類福利僅在預訂當年有影響,而且本質上通常是一次性的。假設每年都不重複享受稅收優惠,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們可能會看到其盈利能力明顯下降。因此,儘管我們認爲獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤誇大了企業可持續盈利能力的風險增加。

Our Take On Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's Profit Performance

我們對上海來易芬有限公司盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's accrual ratio suggests its earnings are well backed by cash but its boost from unusual items, and a tax benefit, probably mean that the statutory number make the company seem more profitable than it is at an underlying level. Based on these factors, we think that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's statutory profits probably make it seem better than it is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai LaiyifenLtd you should know about.

總之,Shanghai LaiyifenLtd的應計比率表明其收益有充足的現金支持,但其來自不尋常項目的提振和稅收優惠,可能意味着法定數字使該公司的利潤似乎比基礎水平更高。基於這些因素,我們認爲上海LaiyifenLtd的法定利潤可能使其看起來比基礎水平要好。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了你應該知道的3個上海來易芬有限公司的警告信號。

Our examination of Shanghai LaiyifenLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我們對上海LaiyifenLtd的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論