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These Analysts Just Made An Incredible Downgrade To Their Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002603) EPS Forecasts

These Analysts Just Made An Incredible Downgrade To Their Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002603) EPS Forecasts

這些分析師剛剛對石家莊以嶺製藥有限公司(SZSE:002603)的每股收益預測進行了令人難以置信的下調
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 21:03

The analysts covering Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002603) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

報道石家莊以嶺藥業有限公司(SZSE:002603)的分析師今天對今年的法定預測進行了實質性修訂,從而向股東傳遞了一定負面情緒。收入和每股收益(EPS)的預測均向下修正,分析師認爲灰雲即將出現。

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's six analysts is for revenues of CN¥11b in 2024 which - if met - would reflect a substantial 28% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 244% to CN¥0.93. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥13b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.48 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

下調評級後,石家莊以嶺藥業的六位分析師目前的共識是,2024年的收入爲110億元人民幣,如果達到,這將反映其在過去12個月中銷售額大幅增長28%。預計每股收益將飆升244%,至0.93元人民幣。在本次更新之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲130億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲1.48元人民幣。事實上,我們可以看出,分析師對石家莊以嶺製藥的前景更加悲觀,他們大幅削減了收入預期,並下調了每股收益預期。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002603 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 5th 2024
SZSE: 002603 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 5 日

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 26% to CN¥20.09.

因此,得知分析師已將目標股價下調26%至20.09元人民幣也就不足爲奇了。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 28% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 16% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 14% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

現在從大局來看,我們理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們與過去的表現和行業增長估計相比如何。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,石家莊以嶺藥業的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計到2024年底的年化收入增長率爲28%,明顯快於其過去五年中每年16%的歷史增長。相比之下,同行業的其他公司預計收入每年將增長14%。考慮到收入增長的預測,很明顯,石家莊以嶺藥業的增長速度預計將比其行業快得多。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,預計業務狀況將明顯下降。不幸的是,分析師也下調了收入預期,儘管我們的數據顯示收入表現預計將好於整個市場。考慮到下調評級的範圍,看到市場對該業務變得更加警惕也就不足爲奇了。

As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's financials, such as the risk of cutting its dividend. Learn more, and discover the 1 other concern we've identified, for free on our platform here.

如你所見,分析師顯然並不看漲,這可能是有充分理由的。我們已經發現石家莊以嶺製藥的財務狀況存在一些潛在問題,例如削減股息的風險。在我們的平台上免費了解更多,並發現我們確定的另外一個問題。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

當然,看到公司管理層將大量資金投資於股票與了解分析師是否在下調預期一樣有用。因此,您可能還希望搜索這份內部人士正在購買的免費股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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