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Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd (SZSE:003033)

Weak Statutory Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd (SZSE:003033)

疲軟的法定收益可能無法說明青島超和實業有限公司(深圳證券交易所:003033)的全部情況
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 21:22

Despite Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:003033) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. Sometimes, shareholders are willing to ignore soft numbers with the hope that they will improve, but our analysis suggests this is unlikely for Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd.

儘管徵和工業(股票代碼 SZSE:003033)最近的收益報告呈現出欠佳的營業額數字,但市場反應積極。有時候,股東們願意忽略軟性數據,希望它們會改善,但我們的分析表明,對於徵和工業來說,這是不可能的。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:003033 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE:003033 2024年5月5日的收益和營業收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's Earnings

根據現金流對徵和工業的盈利能力進行分析

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高金融領域中,用於衡量公司如何將申報利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,然後將結果除以公司在該期間平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們有多少公司的利潤不是由自由現金流支撐的。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:“預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥117.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥202m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥2.0m a year ago though, so Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

在2024年3月的12個月內,徵和工業的應計比率爲0.24。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流遠遠低於其法定利潤,這實際上並不是好事。即使它報告了CN¥11730萬的利潤,但查看其自由現金流表明,它實際上在過去一年中燃燒了CN¥20200萬。雖然一年前FCF爲CN¥200萬,但徵和工業至少在過去能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd.

請注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。單擊此處,查看我們對徵和工業的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's Profit Performance

我們對徵和工業的盈利表現的看法

Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd has 3 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

徵和工業最近12個月的應計比率表明現金轉換不是十分理想,這是我們對其盈利能力看法的負面影響。由於這個原因,我們認爲,徵和工業的法定利潤可能比其基本盈利能力更好。更進一步的壞消息是,它的每股收益在過去一年中有所下降。本文的目的是評估我們能否依靠法定收益來反映公司潛力,但還有很多要考慮的因素。因此,如果您想深入研究這隻股票,必須考慮它面臨的任何風險。例如,我們發現,徵和工業有三個預警信號(1個令人擔憂!),需要引起您的注意,然後再進行進一步的分析。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Qingdao CHOHO IndustrialLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這個註釋只涉及有關征和工業盈利性質的一個因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。有些人認爲高淨資產回報率是一個優質企業的好標誌。儘管您可能需要進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個具有高淨資產回報率的公司集合或這個買家股票列表非常有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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