Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's (SZSE:300141) Earnings Are
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's (SZSE:300141) Earnings Are
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300141) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
疲軟的股價反應表明,蘇州工業園區和順電氣有限公司。”s(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:300141)的強勁收益並不令人意外。我們的分析表明,投資者可能遺漏了一些令人鼓舞的細節。
Zooming In On Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's Earnings
放大蘇州工業園區和順電氣的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間內的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。
For the year to March 2024, Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric had an accrual ratio of -0.24. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥143m, well over the CN¥9.95m it reported in profit. Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, we can see that a recent tax benefit, along with unusual items, have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore its accrual ratio.
在截至2024年3月的一年中,蘇州工業園區和順電氣的應計率爲-0.24。這表明其自由現金流大大超過了其法定利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲1.43億元人民幣,遠遠超過其公佈的995萬元人民幣的利潤。蘇州工業園區和順電氣的自由現金流比去年有所改善,總體而言,這是值得期待的。但是,我們可以看到,最近的稅收優惠以及不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,進而影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對蘇州工業園區和順電氣的資產負債表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
不尋常物品對利潤的影響
Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥1.4m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.
在過去的十二個月中,蘇州工業園區和順電氣的利潤因價值140萬元人民幣的不尋常項目而減少,這有助於其產生較高的現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。在這些不尋常的項目包括非現金費用的情況下,我們預計會看到強勁的應計比率,而這正是本案中發生的情況。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤付出代價從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。如果蘇州工業園區和順電氣不看到這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在來年增加。
An Unusual Tax Situation
不尋常的稅收狀況
In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric received a tax benefit of CN¥2.4m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. And since it previously lost money, it may well simply indicate the realisation of past tax losses. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.
除了顯著的應計比率外,我們可以看到蘇州工業園區和順電氣獲得了240萬元人民幣的稅收優惠。這是有意義的,因爲公司通常納稅而不是獲得稅收優惠。當然, 初步證實 能獲得稅收優惠真是太好了。而且,由於它此前曾虧損,這很可能只是表明過去的稅收損失已經實現。但是,我們的數據表明,稅收優惠可以暫時增加賬面當年的法定利潤,但隨後利潤可能會回落。如果稅收優惠可能不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。儘管我們認爲公司獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤很有可能遠高於根據一次性因素調整收入時的法定利潤。
Our Take On Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's Profit Performance
我們對蘇州工業園區和順電氣盈利表現的看法
In conclusion, both Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative, but the presence of a tax benefits may be inflating the numbers in a way that won't persist. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
總之,蘇州工業園區和順電氣的應計比率及其不尋常的項目都表明,其法定收益可能相當保守,但稅收優惠的存在可能會以一種不會持續的方式誇大這一數字。從所有這些因素來看,我們可以說,蘇州工業園區和順電氣的潛在盈利能力至少與法定數字所顯示的一樣好。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,蘇州工業園區和順電氣有 1 個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。
After our examination into the nature of Suzhou Industrial Park Heshun Electric's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
在我們研究了蘇州工業園區和順電氣利潤的性質之後,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。