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Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's (SHSE:603519) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's (SHSE:603519) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

江蘇立霸企業(上海證券交易所股票代碼:603519)的問題不僅限於利潤疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  05/05 20:29

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603519) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

江蘇立霸企業股份有限公司's(上海證券交易所代碼:603519)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。但是,我們認爲,投資者應注意一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603519 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 603519 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Closer Look At Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's Earnings

仔細看看江蘇立霸企業的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to March 2024, Jiangsu Liba Enterprise had an accrual ratio of 0.37. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥80m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥428.9m. Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,江蘇立霸企業的應計比率爲0.37。因此,其自由現金流明顯低於其利潤。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲8000萬元人民幣,遠低於其4.289億元人民幣的法定利潤。去年,江蘇立巴企業的自由現金流實際上有所下降,但明年可能會反彈,因爲自由現金流通常比會計利潤更具波動性。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Liba Enterprise.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對江蘇立霸企業的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's Profit Performance

我們對江蘇立霸企業盈利表現的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我們已經明確指出的那樣,我們有點擔心江蘇立霸企業沒有用自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。因此,我們認爲江蘇立霸企業的潛在盈利能力很可能低於其法定利潤。但好的一面是,其每股收益在過去三年中以極其驚人的速度增長。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了江蘇 Liba 企業的 3 個警告信號(1 個令人擔憂!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

這份報告只研究了揭示江蘇立霸企業利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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