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Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's (SHSE:605189) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's (SHSE:605189) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd(上海證券交易所代碼:605189)疲軟的收益可能比你想象的還要糟糕
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 01:44

A lackluster earnings announcement from Wuhu Fuchun Dye and Weave Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:605189) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

蕪湖富春染織有限公司發佈的業績乏善可陳, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:605189)上週沒有使股價下跌。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數字外,投資者還應意識到這些數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:605189 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 605189 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Closer Look At Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's Earnings

仔細看看蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

For the year to March 2024, Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.44. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥884m despite its profit of CN¥111.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥884m, this year, indicates high risk.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,蕪湖富春染料和WeaVeltd的應計比率爲0.44。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲1.112億元人民幣,但流出量仍爲8.84億元人民幣,如上所述。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年8.84億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's Profit Performance

我們對蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲蕪湖富春染料和WeaVeltd的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。出於這個原因,我們認爲蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,可能會給投資者留下過於積極的印象。另一個壞消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd的4個警告標誌(其中兩個有點不愉快!)你應該知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Wuhu Fuchun Dye and WeaveLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解蕪湖富春染料和Weaveltd利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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