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Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

華東醫藥股份有限公司(SZSE: 000963)的股票勢頭強勁:這是否需要對其財務前景進行更深入的研究?
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:04

Huadong Medicine (SZSE:000963) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 8.9% over the last month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Huadong Medicine's ROE.

華東醫藥(深圳證券交易所代碼:000963)在股市上表現良好,其股票在上個月大幅上漲了8.9%。正如大多數人所知道的那樣,基本面通常是指導市場價格長期走勢的因素,因此我們今天決定研究公司的關鍵財務指標,以確定它們在近期的價格走勢中是否可以發揮任何作用。在這篇文章中,我們決定重點關注華東醫藥的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huadong Medicine is:

因此,根據上述公式,華東醫藥的投資回報率爲:

13% = CN¥2.9b ÷ CN¥22b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

13% = 29億元人民幣 ÷ 22億元人民幣(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.13.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。因此,這意味着公司每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.13元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效利潤創造指標。我們現在需要評估公司爲未來增長再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤,這樣我們就可以了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Huadong Medicine's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

華東醫藥的收益增長和13%的投資回報率的並排比較

To start with, Huadong Medicine's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 6.4% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for Huadong Medicine in the past five years. Therefore, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

首先,華東醫藥的投資回報率似乎可以接受。與6.4%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。但是,我們很好奇高回報如何仍然導致華東醫藥在過去五年中保持平穩增長。因此,可能還有其他一些方面可能會阻礙公司的發展。其中包括收益保留率低或資本配置不善。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 4.2% over the last few years.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現該行業的收益在過去幾年中增長了4.2%。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000963 Past Earnings Growth May 6th 2024
SZSE: 000963 過去的收益增長 2024 年 5 月 6 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Huadong Medicine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。如果你想知道華東醫藥的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Huadong Medicine Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

華東醫藥是否有效地將利潤再投資?

Huadong Medicine's low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that the company keeps80% of its income) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth and this should be reflected in its growth number, but that's not the case.

華東醫藥的三年中位數派息率很低,爲20%(這意味着該公司保留了80%的收入),這應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益來推動其增長,這應該反映在其增長數字上,但事實並非如此。

In addition, Huadong Medicine has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 24%. Still, forecasts suggest that Huadong Medicine's future ROE will rise to 16% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,華東醫藥在至少十年內一直在派發股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,公司未來三年的派息率預計約爲24%。儘管如此,預測表明,儘管華東醫藥的派息率預計不會有太大變化,但該公司的未來投資回報率仍將上升至16%。

Conclusion

結論

In total, it does look like Huadong Medicine has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,華東醫藥的業務看起來確實有一些積極的方面。但是,鑑於高投資回報率和高利潤保留率,我們預計該公司將實現強勁的收益增長,但情況並非如此。這表明該業務可能面臨一些外部威脅,這阻礙了其增長。話雖如此,我們研究了分析師的最新預測,發現儘管該公司過去曾縮減收益,但分析師預計其未來收益將增長。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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