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China Sports Industry Group's (SHSE:600158) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

China Sports Industry Group's (SHSE:600158) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

中國體育產業集團(SHSE: 600158)的收益比看起來要弱
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:25

China Sports Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600158) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

中國體育產業集團有限公司(SHSE: 600158)宣佈了強勁的利潤,但該股停滯不前。我們進行了一些挖掘,在細節中發現了一些相關的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600158 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 600158 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Closer Look At China Sports Industry Group's Earnings

仔細觀察中國體育產業集團的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

China Sports Industry Group has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to March 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥317m despite its profit of CN¥142.5m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥998m a year ago though, so China Sports Industry Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. One positive for China Sports Industry Group shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年3月的一年中,中國體育產業集團的應計比率爲0.30。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤,這表明在對後者進行大量考慮之前,我們可能需要三思而後行。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲1.425億元人民幣,但流出3.17億元人民幣,如上所述。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲9.98億元人民幣,因此中國體育產業集團過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。對中國體育產業集團股東來說,一個積極因素是,該集團去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信其未來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。如果確實如此,股東應尋求在本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of China Sports Industry Group.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對中國體育產業集團的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On China Sports Industry Group's Profit Performance

我們對中國體育產業集團利潤表現的看法

China Sports Industry Group's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that China Sports Industry Group's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about China Sports Industry Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for China Sports Industry Group and you'll want to know about them.

中國體育產業集團過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,就我們對收益的看法而言,這是負數。因此,我們認爲可能是中國體育產業集團的法定利潤要好於其基礎盈利能力。但好消息是,其在過去三年中的每股收益增長非常令人印象深刻。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。如果您想進一步了解中國體育產業集團作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。你可能會有興趣知道,我們發現了中國體育產業集團的兩個警告標誌,你會想知道的。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of China Sports Industry Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這份報告只研究了揭示中國體育產業集團利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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