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Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's (SHSE:688212) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's (SHSE:688212) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

上海奧華光電內窺鏡(上海證券交易所代碼:688212)的利潤可能不會顯示潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:41

Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688212) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

上海奧華光電內窺鏡有限公司's(上海證券交易所代碼:688212)健康的利潤數字並沒有讓投資者感到意外。但是,法定利潤數字並不能說明全部情況,我們發現了一些可能引起股東關注的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688212 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 688212 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

Zooming In On Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's Earnings

放大上海奧華光電內窺鏡的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計比率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope has an accrual ratio of 0.29 for the year to March 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥44.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥200m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥200m, this year, indicates high risk. Importantly, we note an unusual tax situation, which we discuss below, has impacted the accruals ratio. This would partially explain why the accrual ratio was so poor.

截至2024年3月的一年中,上海奧華光電內窺鏡的應計比率爲0.29。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠少於其法定利潤,這使我們懷疑利潤作爲指導的效用。儘管該公司公佈了4,410萬元人民幣的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了2億元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年2億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。重要的是,我們注意到一種不尋常的稅收情況影響了應計比率,下文將對此進行討論。這將部分解釋應計比率爲何如此之差。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope received a tax benefit of CN¥8.3m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

除了顯著的應計比率外,我們可以看到上海奧華光電內窺鏡獲得了830萬元人民幣的稅收優惠。當公司由納稅人支付工資而不是向納稅人付款時,總是有點值得注意的。我們確信該公司對其稅收優惠感到滿意。但是,細節上的問題在於,此類福利僅在預訂當年有影響,而且本質上通常是一次性的。假設每年都不重複享受稅收優惠,在其他條件相同的情況下,我們可能會看到其盈利能力明顯下降。因此,儘管我們認爲獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤誇大了企業可持續盈利能力的風險增加。

Our Take On Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's Profit Performance

我們對上海奧華光電內窺鏡盈利表現的看法

This year, Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope couldn't match its profit with cashflow. If the tax benefit is not repeated, then profit would drop next year, all else being equal. Considering all this we'd argue Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Aohua Photoelectricity Endoscope you should know about.

今年,上海奧華光電內窺鏡無法將利潤與現金流相提並論。如果不重複享受稅收優惠,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,明年的利潤將下降。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲上海奧華光電內窺鏡的利潤可能給人一種對其可持續盈利水平的過於寬鬆的印象。如果您想進一步了解上海奧華光電內窺鏡作爲一家企業,請務必了解其面臨的任何風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了你應該知道的上海奧華光電內窺鏡的一個警告信號。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,我們採取了謹慎的態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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