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Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's (SZSE:000663) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's (SZSE:000663) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

福建永安林業(集團)有限公司(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000663)的軟收益並未顯示全貌
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:31

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000663) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

軟收益似乎與福建永安林業(集團)股份有限公司無關。, Ltd. 's(深圳證券交易所股票代碼:000663)上週的股東。我們認爲,較疲軟的標題數字可能會被一些積極的潛在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:000663 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SZSE: 000663 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Closer Look At Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Earnings

仔細看看福建永安林業(集團)有限公司的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

For the year to March 2024, Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥126.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥143m in the last year. It's worth noting that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd generated positive FCF of CN¥400m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年3月的一年中,福建永安林業(集團)有限公司的應計比率爲0.29。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠少於其法定利潤,這使我們懷疑利潤作爲指導的效用。儘管該公司公佈了1.269億加元的利潤,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了1.43億元人民幣。值得注意的是,福建永安林業(集團)有限公司一年前創造了4億元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。話雖如此,故事還有更多。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。對股東來說,好消息是,福建永安林業(集團)有限公司去年的應計比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕數據可能只是利潤與FCF之間短期不匹配的情況。如果確實如此,股東應尋求在本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對福建永安林業(集團)有限公司的資產負債表分析

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥66m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

福建永安林業(集團)有限公司的利潤受到不尋常項目的影響,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了6600萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。如果福建永安林業(集團)有限公司不看到這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在來年增加。

Our Take On Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Profit Performance

我們對福建永安林業(集團)有限公司盈利表現的看法

Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 can't be ignored!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd.

福建永安林業(集團)有限公司看到不尋常的項目壓制了其利潤,這本來可以更容易地顯示出高現金轉化率,但根據其應計比率,福建永安林業(集團)有限公司卻沒有這樣做。基於這些因素,很難判斷福建永安林業(集團)有限公司的利潤是否合理地反映了其潛在的盈利能力。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。爲了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現了 2 個警告信號(1 個不容忽視!)在購買福建永安林業(集團)有限公司的任何股份之前,你應該注意這一點

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以告知你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這批擁有高股本回報率的免費公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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