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Why Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's (SZSE:003043) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's (SZSE:003043) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼蘇州華亞智能科技(SZSE:003043)的收益不穩定只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  05/07 18:26

A lackluster earnings announcement from Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003043) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

蘇州華亞智能科技股份有限公司(SZSE:003043)上週公佈的業績乏善可陳,但並未使股價下跌。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數字外,投資者還應意識到這些數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:003043 Earnings and Revenue History May 7th 2024
SZSE: 003043 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 7 日

A Closer Look At Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's Earnings

仔細看看蘇州華亞智能科技的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.32 for the year to March 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥82m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥88.9m. We saw that FCF was CN¥5.6m a year ago though, so Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2024年3月的一年中,蘇州華亞智能科技的應計比率爲0.32。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤,這表明在對後者進行大量考慮之前,我們可能需要三思而後行。在過去的一年裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流爲8.2億元人民幣,而上述利潤爲8,890萬元人民幣。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲560萬元人民幣,因此蘇州華亞智能科技過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對蘇州華亞智能科技的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's Profit Performance

我們對蘇州華亞智能科技盈利表現的看法

As we discussed above, we think Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

正如我們上面討論的那樣,我們認爲蘇州華亞智能科技的收益沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。出於這個原因,我們認爲蘇州華亞智能科技的法定利潤可能不利於其潛在盈利能力,並可能給投資者留下過於積極的公司印象。不幸的是,在過去的十二個月中,其每股收益有所下降。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。例如,我們發現蘇州華亞智能科技有 2 個警告標誌(1 個有點令人擔憂!)在進行進一步分析之前,這值得你注意。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解蘇州華亞智能科技利潤的性質。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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