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Why SanluxLtd's (SZSE:002224) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why SanluxLtd's (SZSE:002224) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

爲什麼SanluxLtd(深圳證券交易所:002224)的收益不穩定只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  05/07 18:39

Sanlux Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002224) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

Sanlux Co.,Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002224)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數字外,投資者還應意識到這些數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002224 Earnings and Revenue History May 7th 2024
SZSE: 002224 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 7 日

Examining Cashflow Against SanluxLtd's Earnings

根據SanluxLtd的收益檢查現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但是如果應計比率爲正,則被認爲是一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。那是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長放緩。

For the year to March 2024, SanluxLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.29. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥68.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥426m in the last year. It's worth noting that SanluxLtd generated positive FCF of CN¥157m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not the end of the story. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares. The good news for shareholders is that SanluxLtd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,SanluxLtd的應計比率爲0.29。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤,這表明在對後者進行大量考慮之前,我們可能需要三思而後行。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲6,880萬元人民幣,但從自由現金流來看,它實際上在去年消耗了4.26億元人民幣。值得注意的是,SanLuxLtd一年前創造了1.57億元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。但是,這還不是故事的結局。我們還必須考慮不尋常項目對法定利潤(以及應計比率)的影響,並注意公司發行新股的後果。對股東來說,好消息是,SanluxLtd去年的應計比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕數據可能只是利潤與FCF之間短期不匹配的情況。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強的現金轉換。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of SanluxLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對SanluxLtd的資產負債表分析

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, SanluxLtd increased the number of shares on issue by 24% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out SanluxLtd's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

要了解公司收益增長的價值,必須考慮削弱股東的利益。實際上,SanLuxLtd通過發行新股,在過去十二個月中將已發行股票數量增加了24%。這意味着其收益將分配給更多的股票。在慶祝淨收入的同時忽略稀釋就像歡欣鼓舞,因爲你只有一片更大的披薩,但卻忽略了披薩現在被切成更多片的事實。點擊此鏈接,查看SanluxLtd的歷史每股收益增長。

A Look At The Impact Of SanluxLtd's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

看看SanluxLTD的稀釋對其每股收益(EPS)的影響

Unfortunately, SanluxLtd's profit is down 56% per year over three years. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we see profit is down 13%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 30% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

不幸的是,SanluxLtd的利潤在三年內每年下降56%。而且,即使只關注過去的十二個月,我們也看到利潤下降了13%。可悲的是,收入 每股 進一步下跌,在那段時間內下跌了整整30%。因此,你可以看到稀釋對股東產生了相當重大的影響。

If SanluxLtd's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

如果SanluxLtd的每股收益能夠隨着時間的推移而增長,那麼這將大大提高股價朝着同一方向移動的機會。但另一方面,得知利潤(但不是每股收益)在改善,我們就不那麼興奮了。出於這個原因,你可以說從長遠來看,每股收益比淨收入更重要,前提是目標是評估公司的股價是否可能上漲。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Unfortunately (in the short term) SanluxLtd saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥44m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to March 2024, SanluxLtd had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

不幸的是(在短期內),SanluxLtd的利潤因價值4400萬元人民幣的不尋常物品而減少。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,SanluxLtd有一筆巨額的不尋常物品支出。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯低於原來的水平。

Our Take On SanluxLtd's Profit Performance

我們對SanluxLtd利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, SanluxLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow; but the fact unusual items actually weighed on profit may create upside if those unusual items to not recur. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. Having considered these factors, we don't think SanluxLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into SanluxLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that SanluxLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant...

總之,SanluxLtd的應計比率表明其法定收益沒有現金流支持;但如果這些不尋常的項目不再出現,則不尋常的項目實際上壓制了利潤,這一事實可能會創造上行空間。而稀釋意味着每股業績低於底線可能暗示的水平。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲SanluxLtd的法定利潤對業務的看法不會過於嚴厲。如果你想更深入地研究SanluxLtd,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。請注意,SanluxLtd在我們的投資分析中顯示了4個警告信號,其中2個有點令人不快...

Our examination of SanluxLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對SanluxLtd的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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