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Shanghai Titan Scientific Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688133) Analysts Just Cut Their EPS Forecasts Substantially

Shanghai Titan Scientific Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688133) Analysts Just Cut Their EPS Forecasts Substantially

上海泰坦科學股份有限公司(SHSE: 688133)分析師剛剛大幅下調了每股收益預期
Simply Wall St ·  05/07 18:31

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Shanghai Titan Scientific Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688133), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon. At CN¥30.54, shares are up 6.0% in the past 7 days. We'd be curious to see if the downgrade is enough to reverse investor sentiment on the business.

最新的分析師報告預示着上海塔吉特科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688133)可能會迎來不怎麼好的一天,分析師們對其法定利潤預測進行了全面下調,這可能會讓股東們感到有些震驚。營業收入和每股收益的預測均被下調,分析師們看到了來臨的困難。股價爲人民幣30.54元,在過去7天中上漲了6.0%。我們很想知道這次下調能否足以扭轉投資者對業務的情緒。

After the downgrade, the five analysts covering Shanghai Titan Scientific are now predicting revenues of CN¥3.2b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 15% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 101% to CN¥0.85. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥3.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.06 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a considerable drop in earnings per share numbers as well.

在下調之後,覆蓋上海塔吉特科技的五名分析師預測2024年的營業收入爲人民幣32億,如果實現,這將反映出相對於過去12個月的銷售額實現了重大的15%的發展。每股收益預計將飆升101%至0.85元。在此最新更新之前,分析師們曾預測2024年的營業收入爲人民幣37億元,每股收益爲人民幣1.06元。顯然,分析師們的情緒下降了很多,營業收入預測大幅下降,每股收益的數字也顯著下降。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688133 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 7th 2024
SHSE:688133的收益和營收增長於2024年5月7日

The consensus price target fell 38% to CN¥36.87, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.

共識目標價下降了38%至人民幣36.87元,弱勢的盈利前景顯然導致了分析師的估值預測。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Shanghai Titan Scientific's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 15% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 23% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 16% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Shanghai Titan Scientific's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

我們可以從更大的視角看待這些預測,例如預測與過去業績的對比情況,以及預測與行業中其他公司相比是更看漲還是更看跌。很明顯,有這樣一種預期,即上海塔吉特科技的營業收入增長將大幅放緩,預計2024年底的營業收入年化增長率爲15%。這與過去五年的歷史增長率23%相比。將這與行業中其他接受分析覆蓋的公司進行對比,這些公司被預計將以每年16%的速度增長其營業收入總額。因此很明顯,雖然預計上海塔吉特科技的營業收入增長將放緩,但它預計將與行業基本持平。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Shanghai Titan Scientific. There was also a drop in their revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from analysts, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Shanghai Titan Scientific.

新預測中最大的問題是,分析師們降低了每股收益的預測,這表明上海塔吉特科技未來的業務將受到阻力。他們對營業收入的預測也有所下降,儘管早期預測的增長只有與更廣泛市場約同。在經歷了分析師情緒方面如此巨大的變化之後,我們理解如果讀者現在對上海塔吉特科技感到有些警惕。

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Shanghai Titan Scientific analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

然而,業務的長期前景比明年的盈利更爲重要。我們從覆蓋上海塔吉特科技的多名分析師獲得了估計值,這些估計延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看這些值。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

當然,看到公司管理層投資大筆資金購買股票的情況與知道分析師是否下調他們的預測一樣有用。因此,您可能還想搜索這份免費的股票清單,其中列出了內部人士正在購買的股票。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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