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Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

寧波遠洋航運(SHSE: 601022)在使用債務方面承擔了一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 18:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Ningbo Ocean Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601022) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,寧波遠洋運輸有限公司(SHSE: 601022)也使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Net Debt?

寧波遠洋航運的淨負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Ningbo Ocean Shipping had CN¥665.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥557.1m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.17b in cash, so it actually has CN¥506.2m net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,寧波遠洋運輸在一年內有6.657億元人民幣的債務,比5.571億加元的債務有所增加。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有11.7億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有5.062億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601022 Debt to Equity History May 9th 2024
SHSE: 601022 2024 年 5 月 9 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Balance Sheet?

寧波海運的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ningbo Ocean Shipping had liabilities of CN¥1.39b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥610.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.17b in cash and CN¥1.01b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥182.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,寧波遠洋運輸的負債爲13.9億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲6.107億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有11.7億加元的現金和101億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它可以擁有比1.822億元多出1.822億元人民幣的流動資產 負債。

This state of affairs indicates that Ningbo Ocean Shipping's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥13.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Ningbo Ocean Shipping has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種狀況表明,寧波遠洋運輸的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這家132億元人民幣的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。簡而言之,寧波遠洋航運的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact Ningbo Ocean Shipping's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 31% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

實際上,寧波海運的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了31%。在還清債務方面,收入下降對健康的作用並不比含糖的蘇打水更有用。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是寧波遠洋運輸的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Ningbo Ocean Shipping has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Ningbo Ocean Shipping burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管寧波遠洋航運的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,寧波遠洋運輸消耗了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Ningbo Ocean Shipping has CN¥506.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Ningbo Ocean Shipping does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ningbo Ocean Shipping (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,寧波遠洋運輸的淨現金爲5.062億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。因此,儘管寧波遠洋運輸的資產負債表不佳,但肯定還不錯。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該了解我們在寧波遠洋運輸中發現的兩個警告標誌(包括一個可能嚴重的警告)。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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