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As China Railway Hi-tech Industry (SHSE:600528) Ascends 3.1% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

As China Railway Hi-tech Industry (SHSE:600528) Ascends 3.1% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's Five-year Earnings Growth

隨着中國鐵路高新技術產業(SHSE: 600528)上週上漲3.1%,投資者現在可能會注意到該公司的五年收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 18:19

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Hi-tech Industry Corporation Limited (SHSE:600528) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 24% over a half decade.

理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應超過市場平均水平。但是,幾乎每個投資者都肯定會有表現過硬和表現不佳的股票。因此,我們不會責怪中鐵高新工業股份有限公司(SHSE: 600528)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了24%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥533m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,該公司的市值在過去的7天內就增加了5.33億元人民幣,所以讓我們看看我們能否確定是什麼推動了股東五年虧損。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, China Railway Hi-tech Industry actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 0.7% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股價下滑的不幸五年中,中鐵高新產業的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長0.7%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.

根據這些數字,我們敢說,五年前,市場可能對預測的增長過於樂觀。話雖如此,我們可以通過查看其他指標來更好地了解該股的情況。

We don't think that the 1.3% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. Revenue is actually up 9.3% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

我們認爲1.3%不是影響股價的重要因素,因爲隨着股息的增加,它相當小。在此期間,收入實際上增長了9.3%。對收入和收益進行更詳細的審查可能會也可能無法解釋股價下跌的原因;可能有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600528 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 10th 2024
SHSE: 600528 收益和收入增長 2024 年 5 月 10 日

If you are thinking of buying or selling China Railway Hi-tech Industry stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出中鐵高新技術產業的股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China Railway Hi-tech Industry, it has a TSR of -18% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。以中鐵高新技術產業爲例,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-18%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 8.7% in the twelve months, China Railway Hi-tech Industry shareholders did even worse, losing 19% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Railway Hi-tech Industry .

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約8.7%,但中鐵高新技術產業股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了19%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨3%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該注意我們在中鐵高新技術產業中發現的1個警告標誌。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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