OpenAI Top Exec Says It's Too Early To Gauge AI's Full Economic Impact: 'We've A Year To Reshape The Economy? That's A Tall Order'
OpenAI Top Exec Says It's Too Early To Gauge AI's Full Economic Impact: 'We've A Year To Reshape The Economy? That's A Tall Order'
OpenAI COO Brad Lightcap on Thursday said that it is still premature to assess the complete economic impact of artificial intelligence.
OpenAI首席運營官布拉德·萊特卡普週四表示，現在評估人工智能的全部經濟影響還爲時過早。
What Happened: Speaking at Bloomberg's Tech Summit, Lightcap said that the rise of generative AI has not yet significantly transformed the economy. However, he and other AI leaders anticipate more substantial changes in the future.
發生了什麼：在彭博社的科技峯會上發表講話時，Lightcap表示，生成式人工智能的興起尚未顯著改變經濟。但是，他和其他人工智能領導者預計，未來將發生更多實質性的變化。
Despite the initial excitement surrounding AI's potential to revolutionize productivity and create new jobs, the actual impact has been more subtle. While there have been some AI-driven layoffs, entire professions have not been replaced or created. It remains unclear how much additional work AI has facilitated.
儘管最初人們對人工智能革新生產力和創造新就業機會的潛力感到興奮，但實際影響更爲微妙。儘管出現了一些由人工智能驅動的裁員，但整個職業尚未被取代或創建。目前尚不清楚人工智能促進了多少額外工作。
Earlier this year, Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, stated that while generative AI can enhance productivity growth, it is unlikely to do so in the immediate future.
今年早些時候，聯儲局主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾表示，儘管生成式人工智能可以提高生產率增長，但在不久的將來不太可能這樣做。
Lightcap suggested that it is still too early to determine whether the potential of AI has been overhyped. He humorously remarked that reshaping the economy within a year would be a tall order. "We have a year to reshape the economy? That's a tall order!"
Lightcap表示，現在確定人工智能的潛力是否被過度炒作還爲時過早。他幽默地說，在一年內重塑經濟將是一項艱鉅的任務。“我們有一年的時間來重塑經濟嗎？這是一項艱鉅的任務！”
If OpenAI were to cease all future AI development, which is not the case, Nightcap suggested that it would still require considerable time for the complete ramifications of its existing models to materialize. However, he is "fairly confident at this point that there would be this 10- to 20-year diffusion period through the economy of just GPT-4 level technology."
如果OpenAI停止所有未來的人工智能開發（事實並非如此），Nightcap表示，其現有模型的全部後果仍需要相當長的時間才能實現。但是，他 “目前相當有信心，只有 GPT-4 級別的技術在經濟中就會有這10到20年的擴散期。”
Other AI leaders at the event echoed Lightcap's sentiments, emphasizing the technology's long-term disruptive potential despite its relatively muted early effects.
參加活動的其他人工智能領導者也表達了Lightcap的觀點，強調了該技術的長期顛覆潛力，儘管其早期影響相對較弱。
"We are probably going to overestimate this technology in the short-term," said Clement Delangue, chief executive officer of Hugging Face. "Maybe we're going to be disappointed in a year, or two years, but we've also probably underestimated the long-term impact of AI in 10 years. The world is going to be very different."
Hugging Face首席執行官克萊門特·德蘭格說：“在短期內，我們可能會高估這項技術。”“也許一兩年後我們會失望，但我們也可能低估了人工智能在10年後的長期影響。世界將大不相同。”
Why It Matters: OpenAI and other AI companies are actively preparing for this future. OpenAI, for instance, has been expanding its enterprise business, selling a customized version of ChatGPT to numerous corporate clients. Moreover, on Friday, it was also reported that Apple Inc. is on the verge of integrating ChatGPT into its iPhones.
爲何重要：OpenAI和其他人工智能公司正在積極爲未來做準備。例如，OpenAI 一直在擴大其企業業務，向衆多企業客戶出售定製版本的 ChatGPT。此外，週五還有報道稱，蘋果公司即將將ChatGPT集成到其iPhone中。
Meanwhile, OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, has denied rumors of developing a search engine or launching GPT-5, instead teasing "some new stuff" the company is working on. Previously, it was reported that OpenAI is set to announce its AI-powered search product, potentially intensifying its rivalry with Alphabet Inc.'s Google.
同時，OpenAI 首席執行官山姆·奧特曼否認了開發搜索引擎或推出 GPT-5 的傳聞，而是嘲笑該公司正在研究的 “一些新內容”。此前有報道稱，OpenAI將發佈其基於人工智能的搜索產品，這可能會加劇其與Alphabet Inc的競爭。”s 谷歌。
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
免責聲明：此內容部分是在Benzinga Neuro的幫助下製作的，並由Benzinga編輯審查和發佈。