Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898)
Analyst Forecasts Just Became More Bearish On Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898)
Today is shaping up negative for Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as the analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.
熊貓乳業公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300898)的股東今天表現爲負數,分析師對今年的預測進行了大幅的負面修正。由於分析師表示前景疲軟,收入預期大幅下調——這可能表明投資者也應該降低預期。
Following the downgrade, the latest consensus from Panda Dairy's two analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.0b in 2024, which would reflect a meaningful 12% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to increase 3.3% to CN¥0.97. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥1.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.97 in 2024. So there's been a clear change in analyst sentiment in the recent update, with the analysts making a substantial drop in revenues and reconfirming their earnings per share estimates.
評級下調後,熊貓乳業的兩位分析師的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲10億元人民幣,這將反映出與過去12個月相比銷售額的顯著增長12%。預計每股法定收益將增長3.3%,至0.97元人民幣。在本次更新之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲12億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.97元人民幣。因此,在最近的最新消息中,分析師的情緒發生了明顯的變化,分析師收入大幅下降,並重新確認了每股收益的預期。
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240512/0-46554c322016340cfefb8327e6841883-0-3464a3b23f202343d7f547a39b898a30.png/big)
The average price target was steady at CN¥26.45 even though revenue estimates declined; likely suggesting the analysts place a higher value on earnings.
儘管收入預期有所下降,但平均目標股價仍穩定在26.45元人民幣;這可能表明分析師對收益的看法更高。
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 12% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 11% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 8.9% annually. So it's pretty clear that Panda Dairy is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.
現在從大局來看,我們理解這些預測的方法之一是了解它們與過去的業績和行業增長估計相比如何。分析師表示,截至2024年底將帶來更多相同的情況,收入按年計算預計將增長12%。這與其在過去五年中11%的年增長率一致。相比之下,分析師估計(總計),整個行業的收入每年將增長8.9%。因此,很明顯,預計熊貓乳業的增長速度將大大快於其行業。
The Bottom Line
底線
The most obvious conclusion from this consensus update is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with analysts holding earnings per share steady, in line with previous estimates. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on Panda Dairy after today.
本次共識更新中最明顯的結論是,該業務的前景最近沒有重大變化,分析師保持每股收益穩定,與先前的估計一致。不幸的是,分析師也下調了收入預期,儘管我們的數據顯示收入表現預計將好於整個市場。鑑於市場情緒的明顯變化,我們可以理解投資者在今天之後是否對熊貓乳業變得更加謹慎。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Panda Dairy going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。根據分析師的估計,熊貓乳業的上市時間將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
當然,看到公司管理層將大量資金投資於股票與了解分析師是否在下調預期一樣有用。因此,您可能還希望搜索這份內部人士正在購買的免費股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。