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Bank of Communications (HKG:3328) Jumps 7.7% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns

Bank of Communications (HKG:3328) Jumps 7.7% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns

交通銀行(HKG: 3328)本週上漲7.7%,儘管收益增長仍落後於三年股東回報
Simply Wall St ·  05/11 20:48

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. Just take a look at Bank of Communications Co., Ltd. (HKG:3328), which is up 18%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 23% (not including dividends).

從股票市場中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是,如果你以誘人的價格收購優秀的企業,你的投資組合回報率可能會超過平均市場回報。看看交通銀行股份有限公司(HKG: 3328),該公司在三年內上漲了18%,大大超過了市場23%的跌幅(不包括股息)。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在連續7天表現穩健的背景下,讓我們來看看公司的基本面在推動長期股東回報方面發揮了什麼作用。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Bank of Communications was able to grow its EPS at 4.9% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. We note that the 6% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.

交通銀行得以在三年內以每年4.9%的速度增長每股收益,這推動了股價的上漲。我們注意到,6%的年度(平均)股價漲幅與每股收益的增長率相差不遠。巧合?可能不是。這表明情緒和預期並未發生巨大變化。 相反,股價的變化可以說模仿了每股收益的增長。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:3328 Earnings Per Share Growth May 12th 2024
SEHK: 3328 每股收益增長 2024 年 5 月 12 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Bank of Communications' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官要低得多。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。可能值得一看我們關於交通銀行收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Bank of Communications' TSR for the last 3 years was 49%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,交通銀行過去3年的股東總回報率爲49%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Bank of Communications has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 26% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 7%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. Importantly, we haven't analysed Bank of Communications' dividend history. This free visual report on its dividends is a must-read if you're thinking of buying.

很高興看到交通銀行在過去十二個月中向股東提供了26%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即7%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,可能值得仔細研究該股,以免錯過機會。重要的是,我們還沒有分析交通銀行的股息歷史。如果你想購買,這份關於其股息的免費可視化報告是必讀的。

But note: Bank of Communications may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:交通銀行可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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