With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Afya Limited's (NASDAQ:AFYA) P/E ratio of 17.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Afya certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Afya.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Afya would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 21% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.9% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Afya's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Afya's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Afya currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Afya with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Afya's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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