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Is Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869) Using Too Much Debt?

綠城服務集團(HKG: 2869)是否使用過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:16

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到綠城服務集團有限公司有限公司(HKG: 2869)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Greentown Service Group's Net Debt?

綠城服務集團的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Greentown Service Group had debt of CN¥313.5m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥333.6m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥5.69b in cash, so it actually has CN¥5.38b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月底,綠城服務集團的債務爲3.135億元人民幣,較一年內的3.336億加元有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有56.9億元人民幣的現金,因此實際淨現金爲53.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2869 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SEHK: 2869 2024 年 5 月 21 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Greentown Service Group's Balance Sheet?

綠城服務集團的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Greentown Service Group had liabilities of CN¥8.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.30b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.69b in cash and CN¥4.35b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,綠城服務集團的負債爲85.6億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲13.0億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有56.9億元的現金和43.5億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,這些流動資產與總負債大致相當。

Having regard to Greentown Service Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥13.8b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Greentown Service Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

考慮到綠城服務集團的規模,其流動資產與總負債的平衡似乎良好。因此,這家138億元人民幣的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。簡而言之,綠城服務集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Also good is that Greentown Service Group grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Greentown Service Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同樣不錯的是,綠城服務集團的息稅前利潤比去年增長了16%,進一步提高了其管理債務的能力。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定綠城服務集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Greentown Service Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Greentown Service Group recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。綠城服務集團資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在最近三年中,綠城服務集團記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的68%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Greentown Service Group has net cash of CN¥5.38b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 68% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥933m. So is Greentown Service Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Greentown Service Group you should know about.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,綠城服務集團的淨現金爲53.8億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的68%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了9.33億元人民幣的收入。那麼綠城服務集團的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的綠城服務集團的警告標誌。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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