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We Think Foryou (SZSE:002906) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Foryou (SZSE:002906) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Foryou(深圳證券交易所:002906)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/20 23:34

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,Foryou公司(深圳證券交易所:002906)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Foryou's Net Debt?

什麼是Foryou的淨負債?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Foryou had CN¥66.3m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥173.6m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.51b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.44b net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示Foryou在2024年3月有6630萬加元的債務,低於一年前的1.736億加元。但另一方面,它也有151億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲14.4億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002906 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SZSE: 002906 2024 年 5 月 21 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Foryou's Balance Sheet?

Foryou的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Foryou had liabilities of CN¥3.37b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥282.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.51b and CN¥3.83b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.67b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Foryou的負債爲33.7億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲2.828億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲151億元人民幣和價值38.3億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出16.7億元人民幣 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Foryou could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Foryou has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,Foryou可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未緊張。簡而言之,Foryou的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

On top of that, Foryou grew its EBIT by 64% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Foryou can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最重要的是,Foryou在過去十二個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了64%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Foryou能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Foryou has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Foryou recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管Foryou的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,Foryou的自由現金流總額爲負數。債務通常更昂貴,而且對於自由現金流爲負的公司來說,風險幾乎總是更大。股東們應該希望有所改善。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Foryou has net cash of CN¥1.44b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And we liked the look of last year's 64% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Foryou's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Foryou , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,Foryou的淨現金爲14.4億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長64%的樣子。因此,我們認爲Foryou使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經向Foryou確定了兩個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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