Great Wall Motor (HKG:2333) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years
Great Wall Motor (HKG:2333) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. For example, the Great Wall Motor Company Limited (HKG:2333) share price has soared 171% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. It's also good to see the share price up 79% over the last quarter. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.
任何股票(假設你不使用槓桿)的最大損失是你的資金的100%。但好的一面是,購買一隻非常好的股票,您可以賺取超過100%的收入。例如,長城汽車有限公司(HKG: 2333)的股價在過去五年中飆升了171%。大多數人會對此感到非常滿意。股價在上個季度上漲了79%也是件好事。這可能與最近發佈的最新財務業績有關——您可以通過閱讀我們的公司報告來了解最新的數據。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Great Wall Motor investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
事實證明,過去一週對長城汽車的投資者來說是有利可圖的,所以讓我們看看基本面是否推動了公司的五年業績。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
During five years of share price growth, Great Wall Motor achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 23% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 22%. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在五年的股價增長中,長城汽車實現了每年23%的複合每股收益(EPS)增長。這使得每股收益的增長特別接近22%的年度股價增長。這表明,在那段時間內,公司周圍的市場情緒沒有太大變化。相反,股價大致追蹤了每股收益的增長。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。
We know that Great Wall Motor has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
我們知道長城汽車最近提高了利潤,但它會增加收入嗎?這份顯示分析師收入預測的免費報告應幫助您弄清楚每股收益的增長是否可以持續。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Great Wall Motor, it has a TSR of 208% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就長城汽車而言,在過去的5年中,其股東總回報率爲208%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that Great Wall Motor shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 63% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 25% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Great Wall Motor has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
很高興看到長城汽車的股東在過去一年中獲得了63%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這比五年來25%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——長城汽車有 1 個我們認爲你應該注意的警告標誌。
But note: Great Wall Motor may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:長城汽車可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。