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Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals (SHSE:600078) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals (SHSE:600078) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

江蘇成興磷化工(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600078)正在適度使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 03:27

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600078) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,江蘇成興磷化工有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600078)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Carry?

江蘇成興磷化工揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals had CN¥1.56b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥1.74b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥586.1m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥974.5m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示江蘇成興磷化工在2024年3月有15.6億元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的17.4億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲5.861億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲9.745億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600078 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024
SHSE: 600078 2024 年 5 月 21 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals' Liabilities

看看江蘇成興磷化工的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals had liabilities of CN¥1.65b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.52b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥586.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥820.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.76b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,江蘇成興磷化工在12個月內到期的負債爲16.5億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲152億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有5.861億元的現金以及價值8.209億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出17.6億元人民幣。

Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals has a market capitalization of CN¥5.41b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

江蘇成興磷化工的市值爲541億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是江蘇成興磷化工的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥3.0b, which is a fall of 30%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去的12個月中,江蘇成興磷化工在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入下降至30億元人民幣,下降了30%。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥19m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥88m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals you should know about.

儘管江蘇成興磷化工收入的下降像溼毯一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲1900萬元人民幣。考慮到這一點,除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。例如,我們不希望看到去年8,800萬元人民幣的虧損重演。同時,我們認爲該股風險很大。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了一個你應該知道的江蘇成興磷化工的警告標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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