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Is Guangzhou Haige Communications Group (SZSE:002465) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Guangzhou Haige Communications Group (SZSE:002465) Using Too Much Debt?

廣州海格通信集團(深圳證券交易所:002465)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 23:13

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Incorporated Company (SZSE:002465) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,廣州海格通信集團股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002465)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's Net Debt?

廣州海格通信集團的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Guangzhou Haige Communications Group had debt of CN¥2.00b, up from CN¥606.0m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.57b in cash, leading to a CN¥2.57b net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月,廣州海格通信集團的債務爲20億元人民幣,高於一年內的6.06億元人民幣。但另一方面,它也有45.7億元的現金,淨現金狀況爲257億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002465 Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024
SZSE: 002465 2024 年 5 月 22 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's Liabilities

看看廣州海格通信集團的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group had liabilities of CN¥5.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥601.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.57b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.70b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.51b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,廣州海格通信集團的負債爲51.6億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲6.014億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有45.7億元人民幣的現金以及價值67.0億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出55.1億元人民幣 負債。

This excess liquidity suggests that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動性表明廣州海格通信集團正在對債務採取謹慎的態度。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,廣州海格通信集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

But the other side of the story is that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group saw its EBIT decline by 5.3% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

但故事的另一面是,廣州海格通信集團的息稅前利潤比去年下降了5.3%。這種下降如果持續下去,顯然會使債務更難處理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來收益將決定廣州海格通信集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Guangzhou Haige Communications Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Guangzhou Haige Communications Group burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。廣州海格通信集團的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,廣州海格通信集團燒燬了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangzhou Haige Communications Group has CN¥2.57b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Guangzhou Haige Communications Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,廣州海格通信集團擁有25.7億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。因此,我們對廣州海格通信集團的債務使用並不感到困擾。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,廣州海格通信集團在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,您應該知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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