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Is GoodWe Technologies (SHSE:688390) Using Too Much Debt?

Is GoodWe Technologies (SHSE:688390) Using Too Much Debt?

GoodWe Technologies(上海證券交易所代碼:688390)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 19:21

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that GoodWe Technologies Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688390) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,固德威科技有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:688390)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is GoodWe Technologies's Debt?

GoodWe Technologies的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 GoodWe Technologies had CN¥295.4m of debt, an increase on CN¥60.1m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥906.9m in cash, so it actually has CN¥611.5m net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,GoodWe Technologies在一年內有2.954億元人民幣的債務,比6,010萬加元人民幣有所增加。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有9.069億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有6.115億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688390 Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024
SHSE: 688390 2024 年 5 月 22 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is GoodWe Technologies' Balance Sheet?

GoodWe Technologies的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GoodWe Technologies had liabilities of CN¥3.21b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥515.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥906.9m in cash and CN¥992.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.83b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,GoodWe Technologies的負債爲32.1億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲5.154億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有9.069億元的現金和9.924億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出18.3億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded GoodWe Technologies shares are worth a total of CN¥18.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, GoodWe Technologies boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由於公開交易的GoodWe Technologies股票總價值爲187億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。儘管負債值得關注,但GoodWe Technologies擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for GoodWe Technologies if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 54% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if GoodWe Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理層無法阻止去年削減54%的息稅前利潤的做法,那麼其適度的債務負擔對GoodWe Technologies來說可能變得至關重要。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定GoodWe Technologies能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While GoodWe Technologies has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, GoodWe Technologies reported free cash flow worth 2.6% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管GoodWe Technologies的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,GoodWe Technologies公佈的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的2.6%,確實很低。這種低迷的現金轉換水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總結

We could understand if investors are concerned about GoodWe Technologies's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥611.5m. So while GoodWe Technologies does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for GoodWe Technologies (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

我們可以理解投資者是否擔心GoodWe Technologies的負債,但它的淨現金爲6.115億元人民幣,這一事實可以讓我們放心。因此,儘管GoodWe Technologies的資產負債表不佳,但肯定還不錯。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了 GoodWe Technologies 的 3 個警告信號(其中 1 個不容忽視!)你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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