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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Huabang Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3638) After Shares Rise 35%

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Huabang Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3638) After Shares Rise 35%

股價上漲35%後,收入並不能說明華邦科技控股有限公司(HKG: 3638)的情況
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 18:07

Huabang Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:3638) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.1% isn't as impressive.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Huabang Technology Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3638 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024

What Does Huabang Technology Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Huabang Technology Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Huabang Technology Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Huabang Technology Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.9%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 46% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Huabang Technology Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Huabang Technology Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Huabang Technology Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Huabang Technology Holdings (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Huabang Technology Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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