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The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing (SHSE:603011) Shareholders as Stock Falls 10.0% Over the Past Week

The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing (SHSE:603011) Shareholders as Stock Falls 10.0% Over the Past Week

由於過去一週股價下跌10.0%,三年的收益下降可能會給合肥鍛造智能製造(SHSE: 603011)的股東造成損失
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 18:13

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603011) share price is up 42% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 22% (not including dividends).

從股市中受益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。 但如果你選擇個股交易,則可以獲得更高的回報。例如,合肥合鍛智能製造股份有限公司(SHSE:603011)的股價在過去三年中上漲了42%,顯然優於市場下跌22%(不包括股息)。

While the stock has fallen 10.0% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

雖然該股本週下跌10.0%,但值得關注的是其歷史回報是否由基本面驅動。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但被證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是看一個公司的股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的交互作用。

Over the last three years, Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 65% (annualized). This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earning in the last twelve months.

在過去三年中,合肥合鍛智能製造的每股盈利未能增長,年化下降了65%。這部分是由於在過去十二個月中影響收益的非凡項目所致。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,我們懷疑市場不會將EPS作爲公司價值的主要判斷依據。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得關注其他指標。

It may well be that Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing revenue growth rate of 21% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.

有可能合肥合鍛智能製造在過去三年中的營業收入增長率達到21%,使股東相信未來更加光明。如果公司是爲了長遠利益而管理,今天的股東可能是正確的,應該繼續持有。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603011 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 23rd 2024
SHSE:603011收益和營業收入增長2024年5月23日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

While it's never nice to take a loss, Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 3.2% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 7.4%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Hefei Metalforming Intelligent Manufacturing has 4 warning signs (and 2 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

雖然虧損從不是好事,但合肥合鍛智能製造的股東可以安慰自己,在過去十二個月中,其虧損3.2%的追蹤虧損不如市場虧損7.4%那麼嚴重。 長期投資者並不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們每年都可以獲得6%的回報率,達到5年。這可能是業務面臨一些短期問題,但股東應密切關注基本面。在考慮市場條件對股價產生的不同影響時,考慮到風險是非常值得的——我們認爲,合肥合鍛智能製造有4個警告信號(以及2個不容忽視的因素)。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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